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MEXICO › LIGA MX
12.10.2026 01:15
Estadio Olímpico Universitario
Referee: Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Match Timeline
Cruz Azul
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnio · Assist: Cesar Huerta
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
⚽
16'
Cesar Huerta · Assist: Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnio
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🟨
26'
Cesar Huerta
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🟨
30'
Agustín Palavecino
Cruz Azul
🟥
37'
Cesar Huerta
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
45'
Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnio ↔ Alan Medina
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
45'
Jorge Rodarte ↔ Andrés Montaño
Cruz Azul
⚽
45+3'
Agustín Palavecino · Assist: Jorge Rodarte
Cruz Azul
⚽
49'
Robert Morales
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
⚽
64'
Andrés Montaño
Cruz Azul
🔄
65'
Adalberto Carrasquilla ↔ Antonio Leone
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
66'
Rodrigo López ↔ Victor Arteaga
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
69'
Ángel Márquez ↔ Osinachi Ebere
Cruz Azul
🔄
69'
Nathanael Ananias ↔ Ángel Azuaje
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
77'
Pedro Vite ↔ Luciano Herrera
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
82'
Gabriel Fernández ↔ Juan José Calero Sierra
Cruz Azul
🔄
82'
Willer Ditta ↔ Alan Mozo
Cruz Azul
⚽
85'
Osinachi Ebere · Assist: Nicolás Ibañez
Cruz Azul
🔄
87'
Carlos Rodriguez ↔ Luka Romero
Cruz Azul

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.76
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
71.2%
1.28 ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.76 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.16 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win 28.8%
Draw 21.5%
Cruz Azul Win 49.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.42
Cruz Azul1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
WWDLW
19 GF / 21 GA
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
WLDWL
39 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.36
Average Goals Scored
1.95
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
7
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
14
4.42
Shots on Goal
7.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 14 matches
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 20 matches
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Statistic Cruz Azul
5 Wins 9
3 Draws 5
6 Losses 6
19 Goals For 39
21 Goals Against 30
1.36 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
7 BTTS Yes 12
11 Over 1.5 17
8 Over 2.5 14
4 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 4
4.42 Shots On Goal 7.13
13.17 Total Shots 19.5
5.08 Corners 6.63
47.6% Ball Possession 58.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Cruz Azul's more proactive style and U.N.A.M. - Pumas's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Cruz Azul in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cruz Azul having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cruz Azul. U.N.A.M. - Pumas have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Analysis

U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 12 with 12 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 14:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Juninho (5 goals), R. Morales (2 goals), R. López (1 goals), with creative support from R. Morales (3 assists), R. López (2 assists), P. Vite (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cruz Azul Analysis

So far, Cruz Azul have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 16 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 19:18 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on G. Fernández (4 goals), J. Paradela (2 goals), N. Ibáñez (2 goals), with creative support from J. Paradela (4 assists), C. Rodríguez (3 assists), L. Romero (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, U.N.A.M. - Pumas won 2 times, Cruz Azul won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:23 from U.N.A.M. - Pumas's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.5%)
Predicted formations: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4-4-2 / Cruz Azul 5-4-1
H2H summary: U.N.A.M. - Pumas wins 2, draws 5, Cruz Azul wins 8

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 22:11 11 21
D W D L W
2 11 6 2 3 25:15 10 20
L D L W W
3 10 6 2 2 15:8 7 20
W W D W W
4 11 5 4 2 18:11 7 19
D L D W W
5 11 5 3 3 15:12 3 18
D W D W L
6 11 5 3 3 17:18 -1 18
D W D L D
7 11 5 2 4 22:21 1 17
D D L W W
8 10 4 3 3 15:14 1 15
D L D L W
9 11 4 3 4 12:13 -1 15
D L D L W
10 10 4 2 4 17:15 2 14
D L W D L
11 11 3 4 4 18:14 4 13
D L D W W
12 11 3 4 4 17:19 -2 13
D L D L W
13 11 3 4 4 13:15 -2 13
W W L D D
14 11 4 1 6 12:16 -4 13
W W W W L
15 11 3 3 5 15:20 -5 12
L W W L L
16 11 2 5 4 12:17 -5 11
L W D L D
17 11 2 3 6 15:23 -8 9
D L L L D
18 11 1 1 9 8:26 -18 4
D L W L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)