U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
71.2%
|
1.28 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
1.57 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.76 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.16 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.00 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Cruz Azul
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
14 matches
Cruz Azul
20 matches
| U.N.A.M. - Pumas | Statistic | Cruz Azul |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 9 |
| 3 | Draws | 5 |
| 6 | Losses | 6 |
| 19 | Goals For | 39 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.95 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.42 | Shots On Goal | 7.13 |
| 13.17 | Total Shots | 19.5 |
| 5.08 | Corners | 6.63 |
| 47.6% | Ball Possession | 58.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Cruz Azul's more proactive style and U.N.A.M. - Pumas's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with U.N.A.M. - Pumas expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Cruz Azul in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cruz Azul having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cruz Azul. U.N.A.M. - Pumas have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 12 with 12 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 14:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Juninho (5 goals), R. Morales (2 goals), R. López (1 goals), with creative support from R. Morales (3 assists), R. López (2 assists), P. Vite (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Cruz Azul have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 16 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 19:18 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on G. Fernández (4 goals), J. Paradela (2 goals), N. Ibáñez (2 goals), with creative support from J. Paradela (4 assists), C. Rodríguez (3 assists), L. Romero (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, U.N.A.M. - Pumas won 2 times, Cruz Azul won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:23 from U.N.A.M. - Pumas's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 21 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 20 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 20 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 19 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 18 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 |
Cruz Azul
Away
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22:21 | 1 | 17 |
D
D
L
W
W
|
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 14 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 13 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 12 |
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Home
|
11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 13 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
| 13 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 13 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:17 | -5 | 11 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 9 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8:26 | -18 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|