Ceara vs Criciuma Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.1%
|
2.61 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.6%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
54.6%
|
2.39 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.12 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Ceara
Criciuma
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ceara
31 matches
Criciuma
31 matches
| Ceara | Statistic | Criciuma |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 15 |
| 9 | Draws | 8 |
| 12 | Losses | 8 |
| 34 | Goals For | 33 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.87 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.23 | Shots On Goal | 3.77 |
| 13.58 | Total Shots | 13.84 |
| 5.61 | Corners | 6.65 |
| 50.9% | Ball Possession | 53.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Criciuma's more proactive style and Ceara's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Criciuma. Criciuma carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 53 points while Ceara sit 15 on 39, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Criciuma arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ceara expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Criciuma in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Criciuma having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Ceara sit 15 with 39 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 9 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 34:39, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Lucas Lima (4 goals), Melk (4 goals), Richard (4 goals), with creative support from Lucas Lima (3 assists), Melk (3 assists), Giulio (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Criciuma approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 53 points from 31 matches. Across the season they have posted 15 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 33:27 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Fellipe Mateus (4 goals), Willean Lepo (3 goals), R. Otero (2 goals), with creative support from R. Otero (4 assists), Romarinho (3 assists), Willean Lepo (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Ceara won 5 times, Criciuma won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:14 from Ceara's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 37:19 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 2 | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 32 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 52:27 | 25 | 54 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Criciuma
Away
|
31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 53 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
| 6 | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 52 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 49:45 | 4 | 51 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 10 | 50 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:43 | 1 | 48 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 32 | 11 | 14 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 47 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 45 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 10 | 45 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:38 | 1 | 42 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 |
Ceara
Home
|
31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34:39 | -5 | 39 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 16 | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 36:38 | -2 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 32:43 | -11 | 33 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 40:47 | -7 | 28 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 32 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 21:53 | -32 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 32 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 17:68 | -51 | 13 |
L
L
L
W
L
|