GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
09.05.2026 13:30
PreZero Arena
Referee: Sören Storks, Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
Match Timeline
Werder Bremen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
4'
Yukinari Sugawara
Werder Bremen
🟥
5'
Yukinari Sugawara
Werder Bremen
🔄
12'
S. Musah ↔ I. Schmidt
Werder Bremen
⚽
26'
B. Toure · Assist: A. Kramaric
1899 Hoffenheim
🟨
41'
Cameron Puertas
Werder Bremen
🔄
57'
B. Toure ↔ A. Prass
1899 Hoffenheim
🟨
66'
Bernardo
1899 Hoffenheim
🔄
71'
Bernardo ↔ R. Hranac
1899 Hoffenheim
🔄
71'
T. Lemperle ↔ C. Campbell
1899 Hoffenheim
🔄
71'
R. Schmid ↔ M. Grull
Werder Bremen
🔄
71'
J. Stage ↔ S. Mbangula
Werder Bremen
🔄
81'
↔ M. Wober
Werder Bremen
🟨
88'
Justin Njinmah
Werder Bremen
🔄
89'
F. Asllani ↔ A. Hlozek
1899 Hoffenheim
🔄
89'
A. Kramaric ↔ G. Promel
1899 Hoffenheim

1899 Hoffenheim vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 97.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 93.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.5%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
97.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
93.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
1899 Hoffenheim Win 54.5%
Draw 11.6%
Werder Bremen Win 33.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
1899 Hoffenheim1.91
Werder Bremen1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
WWDLW
64 GF / 48 GA
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
WLDWL
37 GF / 57 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
22
BTTS Yes
16
23
Over 2.5
18
5.28
Shots on Goal
4.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 32 matches
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen 32 matches
1899 Hoffenheim Statistic Werder Bremen
17 Wins 8
7 Draws 8
8 Losses 16
64 Goals For 37
48 Goals Against 57
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
22 BTTS Yes 16
28 Over 1.5 26
23 Over 2.5 18
16 Over 3.5 12
6 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 11
5.28 Shots On Goal 4.22
14.19 Total Shots 13.22
5.63 Corners 4.59
54.7% Ball Possession 51.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by 1899 Hoffenheim's more proactive style and Werder Bremen's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with 1899 Hoffenheim expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Werder Bremen in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Werder Bremen having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Werder Bremen arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. 1899 Hoffenheim arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 58 points compared to Werder Bremen in 15 on 32, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Werder Bremen.

1899 Hoffenheim Analysis

From their first 32 matches, 1899 Hoffenheim have collected 58 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 17 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 64:48 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Andrej Kramarić (14 goals), F. Asllani (10 goals), T. Lemperle (8 goals), with creative support from B. Toure (9 assists), Vladimír Coufal (8 assists), F. Asllani (7 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 9 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Werder Bremen Analysis

With 32 points from 32 games and a place of 15, Werder Bremen still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 37:57 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Stage (10 goals), J. Njinmah (5 goals), R. Schmid (4 goals), with creative support from R. Schmid (8 assists), Y. Sugawara (6 assists), J. Stage (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim won 9 times, Werder Bremen won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:17 from 1899 Hoffenheim's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)
Predicted formations: 1899 Hoffenheim 4-2-3-1 / Werder Bremen 3-4-2-1
Missing players: 1899 Hoffenheim 1, Werder Bremen 6
H2H summary: 1899 Hoffenheim wins 9, draws 3, Werder Bremen wins 3

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation