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25.10.2026 14:30
Prezero Arena
Referee: Daniel Siebert
1899 Hoffenheim
Match Timeline
Bayer Leverkusen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
40'
Ezequiel Fernández
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
41'
Moussa Diaby ↔ Malik Tillman
Bayer Leverkusen
🟨
45'
Alexander Prass
1899 Hoffenheim
🟨
58'
Patrik Schick
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
64'
Jarell Quansah ↔ Loïc Badé
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
64'
Nathan Tella ↔ Afonso Moreira
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
64'
Ezequiel Fernández ↔ Robert Andrich
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
65'
Adam Hložek ↔ Andrej Kramarić
1899 Hoffenheim
🟨
67'
Leon Avdullahu
1899 Hoffenheim
🔄
72'
Wouter Burger ↔ Bambasé Conté
1899 Hoffenheim
🟨
75'
Facundo Medina
Bayer Leverkusen
VAR
77'
Fisnik Asllani
1899 Hoffenheim
⚽
79'
Andrej Kramarić
1899 Hoffenheim
🟨
82'
Adam Daghim
1899 Hoffenheim
🔄
84'
Adam Daghim ↔ Max Moerstedt
1899 Hoffenheim
🔄
84'
Fisnik Asllani ↔ Robin Hranáč
1899 Hoffenheim
🔄
84'
Facundo Medina ↔ Jonas Hofmann
Bayer Leverkusen
⚽
89'
Alexander Prass · Assist: Andrej Kramarić
1899 Hoffenheim
⚽
90+5'
Max Moerstedt
1899 Hoffenheim
🟨
90+1'
Alexander Prass
1899 Hoffenheim
🟥
90+1'
Alexander Prass
1899 Hoffenheim
🟨
90+3'
Loïc Badé
Bayer Leverkusen

1899 Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
1899 Hoffenheim Win 31%
Draw 4%
Bayer Leverkusen Win 65%
Expected Goals (xG)
1899 Hoffenheim1.55
Bayer Leverkusen2.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
W W L L L
10 GF / 10 GA
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
W W W W W
14 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2.88
2
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
10
BTTS Yes
8
14
Over 2.5
13
5.33
Shots on Goal
7.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 15 matches
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 16 matches
1899 Hoffenheim Statistic Bayer Leverkusen
6 Wins 13
1 Draws 1
8 Losses 2
30 Goals For 46
30 Goals Against 14
2 Avg Goals Scored 2.88
2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
10 BTTS Yes 8
15 Over 1.5 16
14 Over 2.5 13
8 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 8
2 Failed To Score 0
5.33 Shots On Goal 7.78
18 Total Shots 21.11
7.33 Corners 7.22
56.3% Ball Possession 58.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Bayer Leverkusen's more proactive style and 1899 Hoffenheim's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. 1899 Hoffenheim have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Bayer Leverkusen. Bayer Leverkusen carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 10 points while 1899 Hoffenheim sit 17 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

1899 Hoffenheim Analysis

1899 Hoffenheim sit 17 with 3 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 9:13, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through A. Daghim (2 goals), A. Hložek (2 goals), B. Conté (1 goals), with creative support from A. Daghim (2 assists), B. Conté (2 assists), V. Coufal (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bayer Leverkusen Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 10 points after 5 outings. With 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 14:8, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by P. Schick (5 goals), Christian Kofane (2 goals), Miguel Gutiérrez (1 goals), with creative support from Miguel Gutiérrez (3 assists), P. Schick (1 assists), I. Maza (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim won 5 times, Bayer Leverkusen won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:28 from 1899 Hoffenheim's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96%)
Predicted formations: 1899 Hoffenheim 4-2-3-1 / Bayer Leverkusen 4-2-3-1
Missing players: 1899 Hoffenheim 4, Bayer Leverkusen 6
H2H summary: 1899 Hoffenheim wins 5, draws 3, Bayer Leverkusen wins 7

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 3 0 27:8 19 18
D W W D W
2 8 5 3 0 14:6 8 18
D W D D W
3 8 5 1 2 18:10 8 16
W L L W D
4 8 5 0 3 22:11 11 15
W W L W L
5 8 4 3 1 17:14 3 15
W W D D W
6 8 4 1 3 18:16 2 13
L L W W W
7 8 4 1 3 16:16 0 13
W L W L D
8 8 3 2 3 13:18 -5 11
W L W L D
9 8 3 1 4 17:17 0 10
L L W L W
10 8 2 3 3 18:15 3 9
L D L D L
11 8 3 0 5 14:15 -1 9
W L L W L
12 8 3 0 5 14:16 -2 9
L W W L L
13 8 2 3 3 9:12 -3 9
D D L W L
14 8 2 3 3 6:9 -3 9
D W D L W
15 8 3 0 5 7:19 -12 9
L L W W W
16 8 1 4 3 7:19 -12 7
D D D W L
17 8 1 3 4 4:9 -5 6
L D L L D
18 8 1 1 6 11:22 -11 4
D W L L L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation