Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
75.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
73.5%
|
- |
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
1. FC Köln
30 matches
Bayer Leverkusen
42 matches
| 1. FC Köln | Statistic | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 19 |
| 10 | Draws | 12 |
| 13 | Losses | 11 |
| 44 | Goals For | 76 |
| 51 | Goals Against | 58 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.81 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.47 | Shots On Goal | 4.71 |
| 13.17 | Total Shots | 13.93 |
| 4.63 | Corners | 5.24 |
| 47.3% | Ball Possession | 57.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Bayer Leverkusen's more proactive style and 1. FC Köln's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Bayer Leverkusen. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with 1. FC Köln expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Bayer Leverkusen in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bayer Leverkusen having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Bayer Leverkusen carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 52 points while 1. FC Köln sit 12 on 31, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
1. FC Köln are currently 12 in the standings with 31 points from 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses, while the 43:50 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on S. El Mala (11 goals), J. Kaminski (7 goals), R. Ache (7 goals), with creative support from S. El Mala (4 assists), R. Ache (4 assists), M. Bulter (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without T. Hubers, L. Kilian, R. Ache, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.
From their first 30 matches, Bayer Leverkusen have collected 52 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, while the 59:39 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Schick (11 goals), A. Grimaldo (8 goals), M. Tillman (6 goals), with creative support from A. Grimaldo (7 assists), A. Garcia (6 assists), E. Poku (5 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with Arthur, M. Terrier, C. Kofane unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, 1. FC Köln won 4 times, Bayer Leverkusen won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:29 from 1. FC Köln's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
1. FC Köln
10
3
8
3
7
2
Lineups
1. FC Köln
Bergisch Gladbach
1. FC Köln
Bayern München
1. FC Köln
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Köln
Werder Bremen
1. FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt
1. FC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1. FC Köln
Hamburger SV
1. FC Köln
Borussia Dortmund
1. FC Köln
FC Augsburg
1. FC Köln
1899 Hoffenheim
1. FC Köln
VfB Stuttgart
1. FC Köln
RB Leipzig
1. FC Köln
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Köln
SC Freiburg
1. FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Köln
Bayern München
1. FC Köln
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Köln
FC Lugano
Bayer Leverkusen
Kickers Offenbach
Bayer Leverkusen
SF Baumberg
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
VfB Stuttgart
Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
FC Augsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund
Bayer Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayern München
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05
Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1. FC Köln
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Köln
Werder Bremen
1. FC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1. FC Köln
Borussia Dortmund
1. FC Köln
1899 Hoffenheim
1. FC Köln
RB Leipzig
1. FC Köln
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Köln
Bayern München
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt
1. FC Köln
Hamburger SV
1. FC Köln
FC Augsburg
1. FC Köln
VfB Stuttgart
1. FC Köln
SC Freiburg
1. FC Köln
1. FC Kaiserslautern
1. FC Köln
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1. FC Köln
Preußen Münster
1. FC Köln
Hertha BSC
Bayer Leverkusen
Kickers Offenbach
Bayer Leverkusen
SF Baumberg
Bayer Leverkusen
VfB Stuttgart
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bayer Leverkusen
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiakos Piraeus
Bayer Leverkusen
1899 Hoffenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
FC Augsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
Manchester City
Bayer Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg
Bayer Leverkusen
Benfica
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayern München
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 86 | 89 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 36 | 73 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 65 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 22 | 62 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 13 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
Away
|
34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 21 | 59 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | -6 | 47 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | -16 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | -9 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | -14 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
1. FC Köln
Home
|
34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 32 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | -24 | 29 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | -31 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
D
|