GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
RheinEnergieStadion
Referee: Robert Hartmann, Germany
1. FC Köln
Match Timeline
Bayer Leverkusen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Edmond Tapsoba
Bayer Leverkusen
43'
P. Schick
Bayer Leverkusen
🟨
45'
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
1. FC Köln
52'
P. Schick · Assist: N. Tella
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
62'
M. Bulter ↔ J. Thielmann
1. FC Köln
🔄
62'
L. Maina ↔ A. Castro-Montes
1. FC Köln
🔄
62'
I. Maza ↔ M. Tillman
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
72'
I. Johannesson ↔ L. Waldschmidt
1. FC Köln
🔄
72'
K. Lund ↔ F. Chavez
1. FC Köln
🔄
72'
A. Garcia ↔ E. Fernandez
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
72'
N. Tella ↔ E. Ben Seghir
Bayer Leverkusen
🔄
72'
M. Culbreath ↔ Arthur
Bayer Leverkusen
77'
L. Waldschmidt · Assist: S. El Mala
1. FC Köln
🔄
85'
E. Martel ↔ Y. Niang
1. FC Köln
🔄
86'
J. Quansah ↔ L. Bade
Bayer Leverkusen
🟨
90+5'
Janis Blaswich
Bayer Leverkusen

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 82.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 73.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
75.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
82.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
73.5%
-
Probability Distribution
1. FC Köln Win 24.8%
Draw 0%
Bayer Leverkusen Win 75.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1. FC Köln1.43
Bayer Leverkusen1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
WWDLW
44 GF / 51 GA
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
WLDWL
76 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.81
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
23
BTTS Yes
23
18
Over 2.5
21
4.47
Shots on Goal
4.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 30 matches
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 42 matches
1. FC Köln Statistic Bayer Leverkusen
7 Wins 19
10 Draws 12
13 Losses 11
44 Goals For 76
51 Goals Against 58
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.81
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
23 BTTS Yes 23
25 Over 1.5 35
18 Over 2.5 21
13 Over 3.5 15
3 Clean Sheets 13
4 Failed To Score 7
4.47 Shots On Goal 4.71
13.17 Total Shots 13.93
4.63 Corners 5.24
47.3% Ball Possession 57.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Bayer Leverkusen's more proactive style and 1. FC Köln's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Bayer Leverkusen. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with 1. FC Köln expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Bayer Leverkusen in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bayer Leverkusen having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Bayer Leverkusen carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 52 points while 1. FC Köln sit 12 on 31, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

1. FC Köln Analysis

1. FC Köln are currently 12 in the standings with 31 points from 30 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses, while the 43:50 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on S. El Mala (11 goals), J. Kaminski (7 goals), R. Ache (7 goals), with creative support from S. El Mala (4 assists), R. Ache (4 assists), M. Bulter (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. Although they are without T. Hubers, L. Kilian, R. Ache, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.

Bayer Leverkusen Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Bayer Leverkusen have collected 52 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, while the 59:39 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on P. Schick (11 goals), A. Grimaldo (8 goals), M. Tillman (6 goals), with creative support from A. Grimaldo (7 assists), A. Garcia (6 assists), E. Poku (5 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with Arthur, M. Terrier, C. Kofane unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, 1. FC Köln won 4 times, Bayer Leverkusen won 10 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:29 from 1. FC Köln's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: 1. FC Köln 4-4-2 / Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1
Missing players: 1. FC Köln 3, Bayer Leverkusen 3
H2H summary: 1. FC Köln wins 4, draws 1, Bayer Leverkusen wins 10
Stats
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
Shots on Goal
10
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
2
2 Corner Kicks 5
11 Fouls 5
1 Offsides 2
45% Ball Possession 55%
25 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots off Goal 3
7 Blocked Shots 2
19 Shots insidebox 5
6 Shots outsidebox 3
1 Goalkeeper Saves 8
459 Total passes 574
390 Passes accurate 499
3.04 expected_goals 1.33
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

1. FC Köln
Formation
Bayer Leverkusen
M. Schwabe
M. Schwabe
S. Sebulonsen
S. Sebulonsen
J. Simpson-Pusey
J. Simpson-Pusey
C. Ozkacar
C. Ozkacar
K. Lund
K. Lund
I. Johannesson
I. Johannesson
E. Martel
E. Martel
L. Maina
L. Maina
J. Kaminski
J. Kaminski
M. Bulter
M. Bulter
S. El Mala
🎯
S. El Mala
J. Blaswich
J. Blaswich
J. Quansah
J. Quansah
R. Andrich
R. Andrich
E. Tapsoba
E. Tapsoba
M. Culbreath
M. Culbreath
E. Palacios
E. Palacios
A. Garcia
A. Garcia
A. Grimaldo
A. Grimaldo
I. Maza
I. Maza
N. Tella
🎯
N. Tella
P. Schick
⚽ 2
P. Schick
1. FC Köln 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Schwabe
G
28
S. Sebulonsen
D
22
J. Simpson-Pusey
D
39
C. Ozkacar
D
32
K. Lund
↓ 72'
D
18
I. Johannesson
↓ 72' 🟨 45'
M
6
E. Martel
↓ 85'
M
37
L. Maina
↓ 62'
M
16
J. Kaminski
M
30
M. Bulter
↓ 62'
M
13
S. El Mala
🎯 77'
F
Substitutes
20
R. Zieler
G
7
L. Waldschmidt
⚽ 77' ↑ 72'
F
29
J. Thielmann
↑ 62'
M
27
F. Chavez
↑ 72'
M
17
A. Castro-Montes
↑ 62'
M
5
T. Krauss
M
2
J. Schmied
D
33
R. van den Berg
D
38
Y. Niang
↑ 85'
F
Bayer Leverkusen 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
28
J. Blaswich
🟨 90+5'
G
4
J. Quansah
↓ 86'
D
8
R. Andrich
D
12
E. Tapsoba
🟨 10'
D
42
M. Culbreath
↓ 72'
M
25
E. Palacios
M
24
A. Garcia
↓ 72'
M
20
A. Grimaldo
M
30
I. Maza
↓ 62'
F
23
N. Tella
🎯 52' ↓ 72'
F
14
P. Schick
⚽ 43' ⚽ 52'
F
Substitutes
18
J. Omlin
G
6
E. Fernandez
↑ 72'
M
5
L. Bade
↑ 86'
D
15
T. Oermann
D
7
J. Hofmann
M
10
M. Tillman
↑ 62'
M
19
E. Poku
F
17
E. Ben Seghir
↑ 72'
F
13
Arthur
↑ 72'
D
Last matches: 1. FC Köln
23.07.26
Fri
1. FC Köln
Bergisch Gladbach
8
0
W
16.05.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Bayern München
1
5
L
10.05.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
1. FC Heidenheim
1
3
L
02.05.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
2
2
D
17.04.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
1
1
D
12.04.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Werder Bremen
3
1
W
05.04.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
2
D
21.03.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3
3
D
14.03.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Hamburger SV
1
1
D
07.03.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Borussia Dortmund
1
2
L
27.02.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
FC Augsburg
0
2
L
21.02.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
1899 Hoffenheim
2
2
D
14.02.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
VfB Stuttgart
1
3
L
08.02.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
RB Leipzig
1
2
L
30.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
VfL Wolfsburg
1
0
W
25.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
SC Freiburg
1
2
L
17.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
2
1
W
14.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Bayern München
1
3
L
10.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
1. FC Heidenheim
2
2
D
05.01.26
Fri
1. FC Köln
FC Lugano
2
1
W
Last matches: Bayer Leverkusen
25.07.26
Fri
Bayer Leverkusen
Kickers Offenbach
3
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Bayer Leverkusen
SF Baumberg
7
0
W
16.05.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
1
1
D
09.05.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
VfB Stuttgart
1
3
L
02.05.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
4
1
W
18.04.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
FC Augsburg
1
2
L
11.04.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund
1
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg
6
3
W
21.03.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Heidenheim
3
3
D
17.03.26
UEF
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
0
2
L
14.03.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayern München
1
1
D
11.03.26
UEF
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
1
1
D
07.03.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
3
3
D
04.03.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
1
0
W
28.02.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
FSV Mainz 05
1
1
D
24.02.26
UEF
Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
0
D
21.02.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
0
1
L
18.02.26
UEF
Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
0
W
14.02.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli
4
0
W
07.02.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
1
D
H2H: 1. FC Köln vs Bayer Leverkusen
25.04.26
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
1
2
L
13.12.25
H2H
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Köln
2
0
L
05.02.25
H2H
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Köln
3
2
L
03.03.24
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
0
2
L
08.10.23
H2H
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Köln
3
0
L
05.05.23
H2H
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Köln
1
2
W
09.11.22
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
1
2
L
13.03.22
H2H
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Köln
0
1
W
24.10.21
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
2
2
D
17.04.21
H2H
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Köln
3
0
L
16.12.20
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
0
4
L
17.06.20
H2H
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Köln
3
1
L
14.12.19
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
2
0
W
18.03.18
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
2
0
W
28.10.17
H2H
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Köln
2
1
L
Last matches: 1. FC Köln
10.05.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
1. FC Heidenheim
1
3
L
12.04.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Werder Bremen
3
1
W
21.03.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3
3
D
07.03.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Borussia Dortmund
1
2
L
21.02.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
1899 Hoffenheim
2
2
D
08.02.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
RB Leipzig
1
2
L
30.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
VfL Wolfsburg
1
0
W
17.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
2
1
W
14.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Bayern München
1
3
L
20.12.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
0
1
L
06.12.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
1
1
D
22.11.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
4
L
02.11.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
Hamburger SV
4
1
W
18.10.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
FC Augsburg
1
1
D
28.09.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
VfB Stuttgart
1
2
L
31.08.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
SC Freiburg
4
1
W
18.05.25
2.
1. FC Köln
1. FC Kaiserslautern
4
0
W
03.05.25
2.
1. FC Köln
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1
1
D
20.04.25
2.
1. FC Köln
Preußen Münster
3
1
W
05.04.25
2.
1. FC Köln
Hertha BSC
0
1
L
H2H at home: 1. FC Köln
25.04.26
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
1
2
L
03.03.24
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
0
2
L
09.11.22
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
1
2
L
24.10.21
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
2
2
D
16.12.20
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
0
4
L
14.12.19
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
2
0
W
18.03.18
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
2
0
W
Last matches: Bayer Leverkusen
25.07.26
Fri
Bayer Leverkusen
Kickers Offenbach
3
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Bayer Leverkusen
SF Baumberg
7
0
W
09.05.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
VfB Stuttgart
1
3
L
11.04.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund
1
0
W
21.03.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Heidenheim
3
3
D
17.03.26
UEF
Bayer Leverkusen
Arsenal
0
2
L
07.03.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg
3
3
D
04.03.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Hamburger SV
1
0
W
21.02.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Union Berlin
0
1
L
18.02.26
UEF
Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiakos Piraeus
2
0
W
07.02.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
1
D
31.01.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
1
W
20.01.26
UEF
Bayer Leverkusen
Olympiakos Piraeus
0
2
L
17.01.26
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
1899 Hoffenheim
0
1
L
20.12.25
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
RB Leipzig
3
1
W
06.12.25
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
FC Augsburg
0
2
L
25.11.25
UEF
Bayer Leverkusen
Manchester City
2
0
W
22.11.25
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg
3
1
W
05.11.25
UEF
Bayer Leverkusen
Benfica
1
0
W
01.11.25
Bun
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayern München
0
3
L
H2H away: Bayer Leverkusen
25.04.26
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
1
2
W
03.03.24
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
0
2
W
09.11.22
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
1
2
W
24.10.21
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
2
2
D
16.12.20
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
0
4
W
14.12.19
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
2
0
L
18.03.18
H2H
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
2
0
L

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

1. FC Köln 3 missing
-
T. Hubers
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
L. Kilian
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
R. Ache
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
Bayer Leverkusen 3 missing
-
Arthur
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
M. Terrier
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
C. Kofane
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT