Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
85.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
71.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.4%
|
- |
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
1. FC Heidenheim
30 matches
FC St. Pauli
30 matches
| 1. FC Heidenheim | Statistic | FC St. Pauli |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 6 |
| 7 | Draws | 8 |
| 19 | Losses | 16 |
| 33 | Goals For | 26 |
| 66 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.87 |
| 2.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.7 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 3.43 | Shots On Goal | 3.47 |
| 11.27 | Total Shots | 10.3 |
| 4.43 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 42.7% | Ball Possession | 44.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. 1. FC Heidenheim appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward FC St. Pauli. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with 1. FC Heidenheim expected to line up in 4-4-2 and FC St. Pauli in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC St. Pauli having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FC St. Pauli. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. FC St. Pauli arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
1. FC Heidenheim approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 19 points from 30 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 7 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 32:64 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Schimmer (5 goals), M. Pieringer (4 goals), Budu Zivzivadze (3 goals), with creative support from Marnon Busch (3 assists), P. Mainka (2 assists), Arijon Ibrahimović (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with L. Paqarada, M. Kaufmann, S. Conteh unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
With 26 points from 30 games and a place of 16, FC St. Pauli still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 8 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 25:50 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Sinani (5 goals), A. Hountondji (4 goals), M. Kaars (3 goals), with creative support from D. Sinani (3 assists), J. Fujita (3 assists), M. Saliakas (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with R. Jones, J. Sands, M. Pereira Lage unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, 1. FC Heidenheim won 5 times, FC St. Pauli won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:20 from 1. FC Heidenheim's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
1. FC Heidenheim
5
2
3
6
4
3
Lineups
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Köln
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim
SC Freiburg
1. FC Heidenheim
Union Berlin
1. FC Heidenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
1. FC Heidenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
Werder Bremen
1. FC Heidenheim
VfB Stuttgart
1. FC Heidenheim
FC Augsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
Hamburger SV
1. FC Heidenheim
Borussia Dortmund
1. FC Heidenheim
RB Leipzig
1. FC Heidenheim
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Köln
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC St. Pauli
1899 Hoffenheim
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
FC St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli
VfB Stuttgart
FC St. Pauli
FC Augsburg
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Dortmund
FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
1. FC Heidenheim
Union Berlin
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
1. FC Heidenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
VfB Stuttgart
1. FC Heidenheim
Hamburger SV
1. FC Heidenheim
RB Leipzig
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Köln
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim
SC Freiburg
1. FC Heidenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1. FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
1. FC Heidenheim
Werder Bremen
1. FC Heidenheim
FC Augsburg
1. FC Heidenheim
Borussia Dortmund
1. FC Heidenheim
VfL Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC St. Pauli
1899 Hoffenheim
FC St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen
FC St. Pauli
FC Augsburg
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Dortmund
FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
FC St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
FC St. Pauli
VfB Stuttgart
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 86 | 89 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 36 | 73 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 65 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 22 | 62 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 13 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 21 | 59 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | -6 | 47 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | -16 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | -9 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | -14 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 32 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | -24 | 29 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 |
1. FC Heidenheim
Home
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | -31 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 18 |
FC St. Pauli
Away
|
34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
D
|