GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Voith-Arena
Referee: Felix Zwayer, Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
Match Timeline
FC St. Pauli
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
B. Zivzivadze · Assist: J. Schoppner
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
46'
M. Rasmussen ↔ E. Smith
FC St. Pauli
🔄
46'
J. Fujita ↔ M. Kaars
FC St. Pauli
🔄
56'
A. Beck ↔ L. Kerber
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
63'
M. Saliakas ↔ L. Ritzka
FC St. Pauli
🔄
64'
A. Hountondji ↔ A. Ceesay
FC St. Pauli
🟨
76'
Martijn Kaars
FC St. Pauli
82'
E. Dinkci · Assist: D. Ramaj
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
85'
N. Dorsch ↔ J. Niehues
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
88'
D. Sinani ↔ C. Metcalfe
FC St. Pauli
🔄
90+1'
M. Pieringer ↔ S. Schimmer
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
90+1'
B. Zivzivadze ↔ C. Conteh
1. FC Heidenheim
🔄
90+1'
E. Dinkci ↔ A. Ibrahimovic
1. FC Heidenheim

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 71.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
71.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.4%
-
Probability Distribution
1. FC Heidenheim Win 41.8%
Draw 14.4%
FC St. Pauli Win 43.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
1. FC Heidenheim1.34
FC St. Pauli1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
WWDLW
33 GF / 66 GA
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
WLDWL
26 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.1
Average Goals Scored
0.87
2.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
19
BTTS Yes
16
21
Over 2.5
16
3.43
Shots on Goal
3.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim 30 matches
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli 30 matches
1. FC Heidenheim Statistic FC St. Pauli
4 Wins 6
7 Draws 8
19 Losses 16
33 Goals For 26
66 Goals Against 51
1.1 Avg Goals Scored 0.87
2.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
19 BTTS Yes 16
27 Over 1.5 24
21 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 6
0 Clean Sheets 5
11 Failed To Score 12
3.43 Shots On Goal 3.47
11.27 Total Shots 10.3
4.43 Corners 4.5
42.7% Ball Possession 44.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. 1. FC Heidenheim appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward FC St. Pauli. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with 1. FC Heidenheim expected to line up in 4-4-2 and FC St. Pauli in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC St. Pauli having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FC St. Pauli. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. FC St. Pauli arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

1. FC Heidenheim Analysis

1. FC Heidenheim approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 19 points from 30 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 7 draws, and 19 defeats, and the 32:64 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Schimmer (5 goals), M. Pieringer (4 goals), Budu Zivzivadze (3 goals), with creative support from Marnon Busch (3 assists), P. Mainka (2 assists), Arijon Ibrahimović (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with L. Paqarada, M. Kaufmann, S. Conteh unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

FC St. Pauli Analysis

With 26 points from 30 games and a place of 16, FC St. Pauli still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 8 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 25:50 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on D. Sinani (5 goals), A. Hountondji (4 goals), M. Kaars (3 goals), with creative support from D. Sinani (3 assists), J. Fujita (3 assists), M. Saliakas (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with R. Jones, J. Sands, M. Pereira Lage unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, 1. FC Heidenheim won 5 times, FC St. Pauli won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:20 from 1. FC Heidenheim's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.6%)
Predicted formations: 1. FC Heidenheim 4-4-2 / FC St. Pauli 3-4-2-1
Missing players: 1. FC Heidenheim 6, FC St. Pauli 3
H2H summary: 1. FC Heidenheim wins 5, draws 3, FC St. Pauli wins 7
Stats
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 6
7 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 3
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 7
2 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
388 Total passes 471
288 Passes accurate 357
1.61 expected_goals 1.06
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

1. FC Heidenheim
Formation
FC St. Pauli
D. Ramaj
🎯
D. Ramaj
M. Busch
M. Busch
P. Mainka
P. Mainka
J. Fohrenbach
J. Fohrenbach
H. Behrens
H. Behrens
J. Schoppner
🎯
J. Schoppner
N. Dorsch
N. Dorsch
A. Beck
A. Beck
M. Pieringer
M. Pieringer
E. Dinkci
E. Dinkci
B. Zivzivadze
B. Zivzivadze
N. Vasilj
N. Vasilj
T. Ando
T. Ando
H. Wahl
H. Wahl
K. Mets
K. Mets
M. Saliakas
M. Saliakas
M. Rasmussen
M. Rasmussen
J. Irvine
J. Irvine
A. Pyrka
A. Pyrka
D. Sinani
D. Sinani
J. Fujita
J. Fujita
A. Hountondji
A. Hountondji
1. FC Heidenheim 4-3-2-1
Starting XI
41
D. Ramaj
🎯 82'
G
2
M. Busch
D
6
P. Mainka
D
19
J. Fohrenbach
D
26
H. Behrens
D
3
J. Schoppner
🎯 3'
M
30
N. Dorsch
↓ 85'
M
21
A. Beck
↓ 56'
M
18
M. Pieringer
↓ 90+1'
M
8
E. Dinkci
⚽ 82' ↓ 90+1'
M
11
B. Zivzivadze
⚽ 3' ↓ 90+1'
F
Substitutes
40
F. Feller
G
9
S. Schimmer
↑ 90+1'
F
4
T. Siersleben
D
25
L. Stergiou
D
10
C. Conteh
↑ 90+1'
F
23
O. H. Traore
D
16
J. Niehues
↑ 85'
M
20
L. Kerber
↑ 56'
M
22
A. Ibrahimovic
↑ 90+1'
M
FC St. Pauli 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
22
N. Vasilj
G
15
T. Ando
D
5
H. Wahl
D
3
K. Mets
D
2
M. Saliakas
↓ 63'
M
20
M. Rasmussen
↓ 46'
M
7
J. Irvine
M
11
A. Pyrka
M
10
D. Sinani
↓ 88'
F
16
J. Fujita
↓ 46'
F
27
A. Hountondji
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
1
B. A. Voll
G
25
A. Dzwigala
D
21
L. Ritzka
↑ 63'
D
8
E. Smith
↑ 46'
M
19
M. Kaars
↑ 46' 🟨 76'
F
18
T. Hara
F
24
C. Metcalfe
↑ 88'
M
23
L. Oppie
D
9
A. Ceesay
↑ 64'
F
Last matches: 1. FC Heidenheim
16.05.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
0
2
L
10.05.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Köln
3
1
W
02.05.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayern München
3
3
D
19.04.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
SC Freiburg
1
2
L
11.04.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Union Berlin
3
1
W
04.04.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
2
2
D
21.03.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
3
3
D
14.03.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
1
L
07.03.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
2
4
L
28.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Werder Bremen
0
2
L
22.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
VfB Stuttgart
3
3
D
15.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
FC Augsburg
0
1
L
07.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Hamburger SV
0
2
L
01.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Borussia Dortmund
2
3
L
24.01.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
RB Leipzig
0
3
L
17.01.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
VfL Wolfsburg
1
1
D
13.01.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
10.01.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Köln
2
2
D
21.12.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayern München
0
4
L
13.12.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
1
2
L
Last matches: FC St. Pauli
16.05.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
1
3
L
09.05.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
1
2
L
03.05.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
17.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Köln
1
1
D
11.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
0
5
L
05.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin
1
1
D
22.03.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
1
2
L
13.03.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
2
L
08.03.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
0
D
28.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1899 Hoffenheim
1
0
W
22.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
2
1
W
14.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen
0
4
L
07.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
VfB Stuttgart
2
1
W
31.01.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
FC Augsburg
1
2
L
27.01.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
1
1
D
23.01.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
0
0
D
17.01.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Dortmund
2
3
L
14.01.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
1
2
L
04.01.26
Fri
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
0
0
D
21.12.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
0
0
D
H2H: 1. FC Heidenheim vs FC St. Pauli
25.04.26
H2H
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
2
0
W
13.12.25
H2H
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Heidenheim
2
1
L
18.01.25
H2H
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
0
2
L
25.08.24
H2H
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Heidenheim
0
2
W
08.04.23
H2H
FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
0
1
W
01.10.22
H2H
FC St. Pauli
FC Heidenheim
0
0
D
18.03.22
H2H
FC St. Pauli
FC Heidenheim
1
0
L
16.10.21
H2H
FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
2
4
W
31.01.21
H2H
FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
3
4
W
27.09.20
H2H
FC St. Pauli
FC Heidenheim
4
2
L
27.05.20
H2H
FC St. Pauli
FC Heidenheim
0
0
D
27.10.19
H2H
FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
1
0
L
21.04.19
H2H
FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
3
0
L
10.11.18
H2H
FC St. Pauli
FC Heidenheim
1
1
D
03.02.18
H2H
FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
3
1
L
Last matches: 1. FC Heidenheim
16.05.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
FSV Mainz 05
0
2
L
11.04.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Union Berlin
3
1
W
21.03.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayer Leverkusen
3
3
D
07.03.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
1899 Hoffenheim
2
4
L
22.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
VfB Stuttgart
3
3
D
07.02.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Hamburger SV
0
2
L
24.01.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
RB Leipzig
0
3
L
10.01.26
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Köln
2
2
D
21.12.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Bayern München
0
4
L
06.12.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
SC Freiburg
2
1
W
22.11.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
3
L
01.11.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
1
D
18.10.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Werder Bremen
2
2
D
27.09.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
FC Augsburg
2
1
W
13.09.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
Borussia Dortmund
0
2
L
23.08.25
Bun
1. FC Heidenheim
VfL Wolfsburg
1
3
L
H2H at home: 1. FC Heidenheim
25.04.26
H2H
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
2
0
W
18.01.25
H2H
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
0
2
L
Last matches: FC St. Pauli
09.05.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
RB Leipzig
1
2
L
05.04.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Union Berlin
1
1
D
13.03.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
2
L
28.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1899 Hoffenheim
1
0
W
14.02.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Bayer Leverkusen
0
4
L
31.01.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
FC Augsburg
1
2
L
17.01.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Borussia Dortmund
2
3
L
14.01.26
Bun
FC St. Pauli
VfL Wolfsburg
1
2
L
21.12.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
FSV Mainz 05
0
0
D
06.12.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
1. FC Köln
1
1
D
29.11.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Bayern München
1
3
L
09.11.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
SC Freiburg
1
2
L
25.10.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
0
2
L
04.10.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Werder Bremen
0
1
L
19.09.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
VfB Stuttgart
0
2
L
29.08.25
Bun
FC St. Pauli
Hamburger SV
2
0
W
H2H away: FC St. Pauli
25.04.26
H2H
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
2
0
L
18.01.25
H2H
1. FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
0
2
W
08.04.23
H2H
FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
0
1
W
16.10.21
H2H
FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
2
4
W
31.01.21
H2H
FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
3
4
W
27.10.19
H2H
FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
1
0
L
21.04.19
H2H
FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
3
0
L
03.02.18
H2H
FC Heidenheim
FC St. Pauli
3
1
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D

Missing Players

1. FC Heidenheim 6 missing
-
L. Paqarada
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
M. Kaufmann
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
S. Conteh
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
E. Dinkci
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
N. Rothweiler
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
M. Honsak
Questionable Injury
OUT
FC St. Pauli 3 missing
-
R. Jones
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
J. Sands
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
M. Pereira Lage
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT