JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
13.05.2026 10:00
Noevir Stadium
Referee: T. Mikuriya
Vissel Kobe
Match Timeline
Kyoto Sanga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
41'
João Pedro
Kyoto Sanga
🔄
46'
M. Hidaka ↔ R. Hirose
Vissel Kobe
🔄
60'
S. Asada ↔ K. Sato
Kyoto Sanga
🔄
60'
T. Hiraoka ↔ R. Nakano
Kyoto Sanga
🔄
61'
F. Honda ↔ Souza Alex
Kyoto Sanga
🔄
67'
Diego ↔ K. Nagato
Vissel Kobe
VAR
74'
Rafael Elias
Kyoto Sanga
🔄
76'
G. Sakai ↔ M. Mitsuta
Vissel Kobe
⚽
78'
Henrique Trevisan
Vissel Kobe
🔄
84'
H. Arai ↔ S. Nagasawa
Kyoto Sanga
🔄
88'
H. Sugai ↔ Y. Ishida
Kyoto Sanga
🟨
90+5'
Makoto Mitsuta
Vissel Kobe
🔄
90+6'
D. Sasaki ↔ Y. Goke
Vissel Kobe

Vissel Kobe vs Kyoto Sanga Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 37.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
37.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
34.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Vissel Kobe Win 64.8%
Draw 12.9%
Kyoto Sanga Win 22.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vissel Kobe1.48
Kyoto Sanga1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe
WWDLW
23 GF / 19 GA
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga
WLDWL
25 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
8
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
9
3.93
Shots on Goal
4.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 15 matches
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 17 matches
Vissel Kobe Statistic Kyoto Sanga
7 Wins 5
5 Draws 5
3 Losses 7
23 Goals For 25
19 Goals Against 24
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
8 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 16
8 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 4
3.93 Shots On Goal 4.53
13.8 Total Shots 13.4
5.13 Corners 5.4
55.4% Ball Possession 53.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Vissel Kobe's more proactive style and Kyoto Sanga's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Kyoto Sanga. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Vissel Kobe Analysis

With 28 points from 15 games and a place of 2, Vissel Kobe still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 25:22 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on R. Komatsu (4 goals), K. Nagato (3 goals), Takahiro Ogihara (3 goals), with creative support from D. Sasaki (3 assists), R. Komatsu (2 assists), Yosuke Ideguchi (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Kyoto Sanga Analysis

Kyoto Sanga approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 20 points from 15 matches. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 0 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 21:23 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Marco Tulio (5 goals), Rafael Elias (4 goals), Henrique Trevisan (2 goals), with creative support from F. Honda (3 assists), Rafael Elias (2 assists), Henrique Trevisan (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Vissel Kobe won 5 times, Kyoto Sanga won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:18 from Vissel Kobe's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.54 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.1%)
Predicted formations: Vissel Kobe 4-3-3 / Kyoto Sanga 4-3-3
H2H summary: Vissel Kobe wins 5, draws 3, Kyoto Sanga wins 5

Standings

West
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 11 0 7 29:25 4 35
?
2 18 11 0 7 30:21 9 31
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3 18 10 0 8 33:31 2 31
?
4 18 10 0 8 31:23 8 30
?
5 18 10 0 8 31:25 6 28
?
6 18 8 0 10 26:29 -3 26
?
7 18 8 0 10 23:25 -2 24
?
8 18 8 0 10 22:28 -6 23
?
9 18 7 0 11 21:29 -8 21
?
10 18 7 0 11 21:31 -10 21
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)