SPAIN › LA LIGA
24.01.2026 20:00
Estadio de la Ceramica
Referee: C. Soto Grado
Villarreal
Match Timeline
Real Madrid
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
Juan Foyth
Villarreal
🔄
24'
J. Foyth ↔ R. Marin
Villarreal
⚽
47'
K. Mbappe
Real Madrid
🟨
51'
Tajon Buchanan
Villarreal
🟨
57'
Pau Navarro
Villarreal
🟨
62'
Franco Mastantuono
Real Madrid
🔄
70'
T. Buchanan ↔ N. Pepe
Villarreal
🔄
70'
G. Moreno ↔ T. Oluwaseyi
Villarreal
🔄
74'
F. Mastantuono ↔ G. Garcia
Real Madrid
🔄
77'
D. Parejo ↔ T. Partey
Villarreal
🔄
77'
G. Mikautadze ↔ A. Perez
Villarreal
🔄
80'
A. Guler ↔ B. Diaz
Real Madrid
⚽
90'
K. Mbappe
Real Madrid

Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Villarreal Win 0%
Draw 0%
Real Madrid Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Villarreal1.43
Real Madrid1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Villarreal Villarreal
WWDLW
49 GF / 36 GA
Real Madrid Real Madrid
WLDWL
67 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
2.31
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
13
BTTS Yes
16
16
Over 2.5
19
5.14
Shots on Goal
7.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Villarreal Villarreal 29 matches
Real Madrid Real Madrid 29 matches
Villarreal Statistic Real Madrid
14 Wins 21
4 Draws 3
11 Losses 5
49 Goals For 67
36 Goals Against 30
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 2.31
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
13 BTTS Yes 16
25 Over 1.5 24
16 Over 2.5 19
11 Over 3.5 11
9 Clean Sheets 11
8 Failed To Score 3
5.14 Shots On Goal 7.38
14.9 Total Shots 19.97
4.72 Corners 6.79
46% Ball Possession 59.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Villarreal won 2 times, Real Madrid won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:30 from Villarreal's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Villarreal 4-4-2 / Real Madrid 4-3-3
H2H summary: Villarreal wins 2, draws 5, Real Madrid wins 8

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2