20.01.2026 20:00
Estadio de la Ceramica
Referee: N. Walsh
Villarreal
Match Timeline
Ajax
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Owen Wijndal
Ajax
🔄
46'
A. Moleiro ↔ T. Buchanan
Villarreal
⚽
49'
T. Oluwaseyi · Assist: R. Marin
Villarreal
🔄
54'
Y. Regeer ↔ K. Itakura
Ajax
🟨
60'
Santiago Mouriño
Villarreal
⚽
61'
O. Gloukh
Ajax
🟨
71'
Thomas Partey
Villarreal
🔄
71'
K. Dolberg ↔ R. Bounida
Ajax
🔄
71'
J. Mokio ↔ S. Steur
Ajax
🔄
72'
A. Perez ↔ G. Moreno
Villarreal
🔄
72'
N. Pepe ↔ G. Mikautadze
Villarreal
🔄
74'
T. Partey ↔ D. Parejo
Villarreal
🟨
80'
Rafa Marín
Villarreal
🔄
84'
O. Gloukh ↔ O. Edvardsen
Ajax
🔄
84'
O. Wijndal ↔ K. Fitz-Jim
Ajax
🟨
88'
Aaron Bouwman
Ajax
⚽
90'
O. Edvardsen · Assist: A. Gaaei
Ajax

Villarreal vs Ajax Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Villarreal Win 0%
Draw 0%
Ajax Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Villarreal1.73
Ajax1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Villarreal Villarreal
WWDLW
48 GF / 34 GA
Ajax Ajax
WLDWL
42 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
12
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
16
5.04
Shots on Goal
5.52

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Villarreal Villarreal 28 matches
Ajax Ajax 25 matches
Villarreal Statistic Ajax
14 Wins 10
4 Draws 7
10 Losses 8
48 Goals For 42
34 Goals Against 44
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
12 BTTS Yes 16
24 Over 1.5 25
15 Over 2.5 16
11 Over 3.5 12
9 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 5
5.04 Shots On Goal 5.52
14.75 Total Shots 13.72
4.64 Corners 5.04
46.3% Ball Possession 55.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Villarreal won 0 times, Ajax won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:2 from Villarreal's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Villarreal 4-4-2 / Ajax 4-3-3
H2H summary: Villarreal wins 0, draws 0, Ajax wins 1

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 23:4 19 24
W W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 22:8 14 21
W W W L W
3 8 6 0 2 20:8 12 18
W W W L W
4 8 5 2 1 17:7 10 17
W W W L W
5 8 5 1 2 22:14 8 16
W W W L D
6 8 5 1 2 17:10 7 16
W W L W D
7 8 5 1 2 17:11 6 16
W W L W D
8 8 5 1 2 15:9 6 16
W L W L W
9 8 5 0 3 21:12 9 15
L W L W L
10 8 5 0 3 15:7 8 15
W L L L W
11 8 4 2 2 21:11 10 14
D L D W L
12 8 4 2 2 17:7 10 14
D W D L W
13 8 3 4 1 14:10 4 13
D W W W D
14 8 4 1 3 17:15 2 13
L D W W W
15 8 4 1 3 10:10 0 13
L L W W W
16 8 3 3 2 13:14 -1 12
W L D W W
17 8 3 2 3 19:17 2 11
L L D W L
18 8 3 2 3 10:14 -4 11
W W W L D
19 8 3 1 4 15:17 -2 10
W W L L D
20 8 3 1 4 9:11 -2 10
L D L L W
21 8 2 4 2 8:14 -6 10
D L W D W
22 8 3 1 4 13:21 -8 10
L W L L D
23 8 2 3 3 14:15 -1 9
W W D L L
24 8 3 0 5 10:12 -2 9
W L W W L
25 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
L L W W L
26 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
W L L D W
27 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
W L L W L
28 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
L L L W D
29 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L W D D L
30 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
L D L W D
31 8 2 2 4 12:21 -9 8
L D W W L
32
Ajax Away
8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
L W W L L
33 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
L L L L D
34 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
L L L D L
35 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
L L L L L
36 8 0 1 7 7:22 -15 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)