NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
29.04.2026 17:00
Romssa Arena
Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad, Norway
Tromso
Match Timeline
Brann
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
19'
K. M. Ingason
Brann
⚽
22'
K. M. Ingason
Brann
🟨
27'
Heine Asen Larsen
Tromso
⚽
37'
K. M. Ingason · Assist: D. De Roeve
Brann
🔄
46'
H. Larsen ↔ D. Braut
Tromso
🔄
46'
A. S. Kinteh ↔ V. Skjaervik
Tromso
🔄
46'
A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd ↔ S. Innvaer
Tromso
🔄
46'
D. De Roeve ↔ J. Soltvedt
Brann
⚽
50'
U. Mathisen
Brann
🔄
61'
F. Knudsen ↔ D. Mbacke
Brann
🔄
61'
U. Mathisen ↔ N. Holm
Brann
🔄
68'
R. Jenssen ↔ T. Nyhammer
Tromso
🟨
70'
David Edvardsson
Tromso
🔄
76'
K. M. Ingason ↔ N. Wassberg
Brann
🟨
78'
Lars Olden Larsen
Tromso
🔄
84'
J. Thorsteinsson ↔ M. Haaland
Brann
🟨
87'
Jacob Lungi Sørensen
Brann
⚽
90'
M. Haaland
Brann

Tromso vs Brann Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
65.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Tromso Win 70.4%
Draw 0%
Brann Win 29.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tromso1.63
Brann1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tromso Tromso
WWDLW
19 GF / 3 GA
Brann Brann
WLDWL
21 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
2.1
0.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
3
BTTS Yes
9
3
Over 2.5
7
6.14
Shots on Goal
5.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tromso Tromso 12 matches
Brann Brann 10 matches
Tromso Statistic Brann
9 Wins 2
3 Draws 3
0 Losses 5
19 Goals For 21
3 Goals Against 17
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 2.1
0.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.7
3 BTTS Yes 9
7 Over 1.5 9
3 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
6.14 Shots On Goal 5.17
14.43 Total Shots 14.5
7.14 Corners 8.67
50% Ball Possession 57.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Tromso's more proactive style and Brann's more cautious structure. Brann seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Tromso arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 19 points compared to Brann in 14 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Tromso come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Brann. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tromso expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Brann in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Brann having the stronger overall control.

Tromso Analysis

Tromso come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 19 points after 7 matches. With 6 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 14:2, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Hjerto-Dahl (4 goals), H. Larsen (3 goals), A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd (2 goals), with creative support from R. Jenssen (4 assists), J. Hjerto-Dahl (1 assists), H. Larsen (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with J. Grundt, V. Ekblom unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Brann Analysis

Brann sit 14 with 4 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 11:11 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on B. Finne (2 goals), J. Soltvedt (2 goals), Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson (2 goals), with creative support from B. Finne (2 assists), K. Eriksen (2 assists), N. Holm (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with N. Castro, S. Magnusson, J. Torsvik unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Tromso won 3 times, Brann won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:29 from Tromso's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.46 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Tromso 5-3-2 / Brann 4-3-3
Missing players: Tromso 2, Brann 6
H2H summary: Tromso wins 3, draws 2, Brann wins 8

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 16 2 3 54:20 34 50
W W D W L
2 21 16 2 3 53:19 34 50
L W W W W
3 21 11 5 5 40:29 11 38
W L L D L
4 21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
5 21 10 3 8 39:30 9 33
W W W L W
6 21 10 2 9 28:29 -1 32
L W W L D
7
Brann Away
21 9 2 10 39:32 7 29
W L L D W
8 21 8 4 9 25:32 -7 28
D D L W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 21 6 5 10 21:27 -6 23
W L D D W
12 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
13 21 6 5 10 29:44 -15 23
L L L D L
14 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
15 21 5 4 12 21:40 -19 19
L L W D L
16 21 4 4 13 22:44 -22 16
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen