ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP

25.02.2026 20:00

Stoke City

2 - 1

Oxford United

Bet365 Stadium

Referee: J. Linington

Stoke City

Match Timeline

Oxford United

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Stoke City vs Oxford United Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis

Probability Distribution

Stoke City Win 0%

Draw 0%

Oxford United Win 0%

Expected Goals (xG)

Stoke City1.18

Oxford United0.87

Recent Form (Last 5)

Stoke City

WWDLW

38 GF / 33 GA

Oxford United

WLDWL

29 GF / 46 GA

Key Stats

1.09

Average Goals Scored

0.83

0.94

Average Goals Conceded

1.31

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

3.71

Shots on Goal

3.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stoke City 35 matches

Oxford United 35 matches

Stoke City	Statistic	Oxford United
13	Wins	6
8	Draws	12
14	Losses	17
38	Goals For	29
33	Goals Against	46
1.09	Avg Goals Scored	0.83
0.94	Avg Goals Conceded	1.31
13	BTTS Yes	18
20	Over 1.5	22
14	Over 2.5	16
4	Over 3.5	6
13	Clean Sheets	6
13	Failed To Score	16
3.71	Shots On Goal	3.31
10.97	Total Shots	11.94
5.57	Corners	3.71
52.5%	Ball Possession	41.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Stoke City won 2 times, Oxford United won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:2 from Stoke City's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Stoke City 4-2-3-1 / Oxford United 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Stoke City wins 2, draws 1, Oxford United wins 1

Standings

Championship

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Coventry	46	28	11	7	97:45	52	95	W W W D D
2	Ipswich	46	23	15	8	80:47	33	84	W D D W D
3	Millwall	46	24	11	11	64:49	15	83	L D W D W
4	Southampton	46	22	14	10	82:56	26	80	W D W D D
5	Middlesbrough	46	22	14	10	72:47	25	80	L L D D W
6	Hull City	46	21	10	15	70:66	4	73	W W D W L
7	Wrexham	46	19	14	13	69:65	4	71	D L W W L
8	Derby	46	20	9	17	67:59	8	69	L W L W L
9	Norwich	46	19	8	19	63:56	7	65	L D W W L
10	Birmingham	46	17	13	16	57:56	1	64	D W W D W
11	Swansea	46	18	10	18	57:59	-2	64	W D W L W
12	Bristol City	46	17	11	18	59:59	0	62	W L D L D
13	Sheffield Utd	46	18	6	22	66:66	0	60	W L L W W
14	Preston	46	15	15	16	55:62	-7	60	L W L L W
15	QPR	46	16	10	20	61:73	-12	58	L L L L D
16	Watford	46	14	15	17	53:65	-12	57	L L L L L
17	Stoke City Home	46	15	10	21	51:56	-5	55	L L L L D
18	Portsmouth	46	14	13	19	49:64	-15	55	D W L W W
19	Charlton	46	13	14	19	44:58	-14	53	L W L D L
20	Blackburn	46	13	13	20	42:56	-14	52	L W D L D
21	West Brom	46	13	14	19	48:58	-10	51	L D W W D
22	Oxford United Away	46	11	14	21	45:59	-14	47	L W L L W
23	Leicester	46	12	16	18	58:68	-10	46	W D D L L
24	Sheffield Wednesday	46	2	12	32	29:89	-60	0	W L L D D

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