NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
25.05.2026 12:30
Sparebanken Sør Arena
Referee: Rohit Saggi, Norway
Start
Match Timeline
Valerenga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
J. Cornelius · Assist: O. Jebali
Start
⚽
32'
S. Mvoue · Assist: O. Jebali
Start
🔄
58'
E. Sorensen ↔ L. Haren
Valerenga
🔄
58'
M. Westergaard ↔ O. T. Holm
Valerenga
🔄
66'
S. Mvoue ↔ M. Soomets
Start
🔄
66'
A. Ujkani ↔ F. Palerud
Start
🔄
69'
H. Sjatil ↔ V. Hedenstad
Valerenga
🟨
71'
Fredrik Palerud
Start
🔄
73'
O. Jebali ↔ S. Griesbeck
Start
🔄
75'
H. Bjordal ↔ F. Ambina
Valerenga
🔄
75'
F. Thorvaldsen ↔ P. Strand
Valerenga
🔄
83'
E. Reitan ↔ J. Ampofo
Start

Start vs Valerenga Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Start Win 44.1%
Draw 11.8%
Valerenga Win 44.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Start1.3
Valerenga1.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Start Start
WWDLW
21 GF / 38 GA
Valerenga Valerenga
WLDWL
29 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.81
2.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
11
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
8
3.7
Shots on Goal
4.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Start Start 18 matches
Valerenga Valerenga 16 matches
Start Statistic Valerenga
3 Wins 8
5 Draws 3
10 Losses 5
21 Goals For 29
38 Goals Against 24
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.81
2.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
11 BTTS Yes 8
17 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 7
3 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 3
3.7 Shots On Goal 4.89
10.7 Total Shots 14.67
3.3 Corners 7.44
41.2% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Valerenga. Valerenga carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 11 points while Start sit 16 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Start expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Valerenga in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Valerenga having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Start Analysis

Start approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 4 points from 9 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats with a 9:22 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Cornelius (2 goals), O. Toure (2 goals), E. Reitan (1 goals), with creative support from Erlend Segberg (2 assists), T. Strannegard (2 assists), J. Cornelius (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Valerenga Analysis

Valerenga sit 9 with 11 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 10:14, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Lange (2 goals), Lucas Haren (2 goals), M. Grundetjern (2 goals), with creative support from C. Lange (1 assists), M. Grundetjern (1 assists), H. Bjordal (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Start won 2 times, Valerenga won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:26 from Start's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.2%)
Predicted formations: Start 5-3-2 / Valerenga 4-4-2
Missing players: Start 5, Valerenga 3
H2H summary: Start wins 2, draws 1, Valerenga wins 7

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 16 2 3 54:20 34 50
W W D W L
2 21 16 2 3 53:19 34 50
L W W W W
3 21 11 5 5 40:29 11 38
W L L D L
4 21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
5 21 10 3 8 39:30 9 33
W W W L W
6 21 10 2 9 28:29 -1 32
L W W L D
7 21 9 2 10 39:32 7 29
W L L D W
8 21 8 4 9 25:32 -7 28
D D L W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 21 6 5 10 21:27 -6 23
W L D D W
12 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
13 21 6 5 10 29:44 -15 23
L L L D L
14 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
15 21 5 4 12 21:40 -19 19
L L W D L
16
Start Home
21 4 4 13 22:44 -22 16
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen