PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
01.02.2026 18:00
Estádio José Alvalade
Referee: R. Baixinho
Sporting CP
Match Timeline
Nacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
Léo Santos
Nacional
🟨
55'
Ze Vitor
Nacional
🔄
64'
Luis Guilherme ↔ S. Faye
Sporting CP
🔄
64'
J. Simoes ↔ Trincao
Sporting CP
🔄
65'
Paulinho Boia ↔ Witi
Nacional
⚽
72'
P. Goncalves
Sporting CP
⚽
76'
A. Nunez
Nacional
🔄
80'
P. Goncalves ↔ G. Kochorashvili
Sporting CP
🔄
80'
G. Catamo ↔ Alisson Santos
Sporting CP
🔄
80'
Gabriel Veron ↔ Daniel Junior
Nacional
🔄
80'
J. Silva ↔ C. Labidi
Nacional
🟨
87'
Alan Núñez
Nacional
VAR
90+1'
Luis Javier Suárez
Sporting CP
🔄
90+2'
Liziero ↔ A. Sousa
Nacional
🔄
90+2'
J. Ramirez ↔ L. Joao
Nacional
⚽
90'
L. Suarez · Assist: Alisson Santos
Sporting CP

Sporting CP vs Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Sporting CP Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nacional Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sporting CP2.12
Nacional1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sporting CP Sporting CP
WWDLW
69 GF / 21 GA
Nacional Nacional
WLDWL
26 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
2.56
Average Goals Scored
1.37
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
16
BTTS Yes
12
20
Over 2.5
10
6.56
Shots on Goal
3.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sporting CP Sporting CP 27 matches
Nacional Nacional 19 matches
Sporting CP Statistic Nacional
20 Wins 5
4 Draws 5
3 Losses 9
69 Goals For 26
21 Goals Against 28
2.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
16 BTTS Yes 12
26 Over 1.5 15
20 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 6
11 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 4
6.56 Shots On Goal 3.95
16.56 Total Shots 11.95
5.85 Corners 4.05
58.2% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sporting CP won 14 times, Nacional won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 37:6 from Sporting CP's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Sporting CP 4-2-3-1 / Nacional 5-4-1
H2H summary: Sporting CP wins 14, draws 1, Nacional wins 0

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2