IRELAND › PREMIER DIVISION
22.05.2026 19:00
Tallaght Stadium
Referee: P. Norton
Shamrock Rovers
Match Timeline
Sligo Rovers
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
11'
S. McHale
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
39'
J. Mulraney ↔ D. Grant
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
46'
M. Healy ↔ J. O'Sullivan
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
46'
A. Nolan ↔ R. O'Kane
Sligo Rovers
🔄
53'
J. McManus ↔ C. Harkin
Sligo Rovers
🔄
65'
A. Greene ↔ G. Burke
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
65'
D. Watts ↔ V. Ozhianvuna
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
65'
M. Noonan ↔ J. McGovern
Shamrock Rovers
⚽
66'
J. Esua · Assist: C. Kavanagh
Sligo Rovers
🟨
69'
John O'Sullivan
Shamrock Rovers
🔄
72'
↔ M. Traore
Sligo Rovers
🔄
81'
C. Kavanagh ↔ C. McHugh
Sligo Rovers
🟨
90+1'
Jack Byrne
Shamrock Rovers
🟨
90+4'
Sam Sargeant
Sligo Rovers
⚽
90'
C. McHugh · Assist: R. O'Kane
Sligo Rovers

Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Shamrock Rovers Win 86.7%
Draw 0%
Sligo Rovers Win 13.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shamrock Rovers1.6
Sligo Rovers0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
WWDLW
36 GF / 14 GA
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
WLDWL
24 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.04
0.74
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
8
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
9
4.65
Shots on Goal
2.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 19 matches
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 23 matches
Shamrock Rovers Statistic Sligo Rovers
12 Wins 8
4 Draws 4
3 Losses 11
36 Goals For 24
14 Goals Against 27
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.04
0.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
8 BTTS Yes 8
13 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 8
3 Failed To Score 10
4.65 Shots On Goal 2.71
13.65 Total Shots 10.41
5.24 Corners 3.94
61.2% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Shamrock Rovers's more proactive style and Sligo Rovers's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Shamrock Rovers arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 34 points compared to Sligo Rovers in 9 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sligo Rovers. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shamrock Rovers expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Sligo Rovers in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sligo Rovers having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Shamrock Rovers Analysis

Shamrock Rovers come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 34 points after 17 matches. The return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 27:14, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through G. Burke (5 goals), John McGovern (3 goals), M. Noonan (3 goals), with creative support from J. Byrne (4 assists), John McGovern (3 assists), T. Sobowale (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Sligo Rovers Analysis

Sligo Rovers sit 9 with 16 points after 17 league matches. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 12:23 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through W. Fitzgerald (4 goals), A. Nolan (2 goals), Archie Meekison (2 goals), with creative support from W. Fitzgerald (2 assists), J. Redmond (2 assists), A. Nolan (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Shamrock Rovers won 8 times, Sligo Rovers won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:15 from Shamrock Rovers's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Shamrock Rovers 3-4-2-1 / Sligo Rovers 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Shamrock Rovers wins 8, draws 3, Sligo Rovers wins 4

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 52:25 27 59
W W W L W
2 31 17 8 6 49:31 18 59
W L D D W
3 31 16 8 7 55:37 18 56
W W W W L
4 32 9 14 9 45:42 3 41
W D W D L
5 32 10 11 11 49:53 -4 41
L L D W L
6 32 9 13 10 42:45 -3 40
D W L L D
7 32 9 11 12 42:48 -6 38
D L W L D
8 32 7 13 12 44:54 -10 34
L D D W D
9 32 8 10 14 38:51 -13 34
L W W L L
10 32 5 8 19 24:54 -30 23
L L L L D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation