UKRAINE › PREMIER LEAGUE
21.05.2026 12:30
Ukraina Stadium
Referee: O. Kalionov
Shakhtar Donetsk
Match Timeline
Kolos Kovalivka
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
Marlon Gomes ↔ D. Kryskiv
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
46'
A. Gusol ↔ I. Kane
Kolos Kovalivka
⚽
49'
A. Tahiri · Assist: D. Khrypchuk
Kolos Kovalivka
🔄
59'
Newerton ↔ M. Shved
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
59'
V. Bondar ↔ V. Tobias
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
60'
T. Stepanenko ↔ Elias
Kolos Kovalivka
🔄
70'
Y. Nazaryna ↔ D. Arroyo
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
74'
D. Khrypchuk ↔ A. Ponedelnik
Kolos Kovalivka
🔄
74'
A. Rrapaj ↔ D. Denisenko
Kolos Kovalivka
🔄
75'
O. Ocheretko ↔ A. Bondarenko
Shakhtar Donetsk
🔄
79'
A. Tahiri ↔ A. Chelyadin
Kolos Kovalivka

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kolos Kovalivka Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 78.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
78.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Shakhtar Donetsk Win 64%
Draw 4%
Kolos Kovalivka Win 32.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Shakhtar Donetsk1.65
Kolos Kovalivka0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
WWDLW
107 GF / 39 GA
Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka
WLDWL
29 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
2.18
Average Goals Scored
1
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
23
BTTS Yes
11
30
Over 2.5
8
3.67
Shots on Goal
2.37

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 49 matches
Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 29 matches
Shakhtar Donetsk Statistic Kolos Kovalivka
32 Wins 12
12 Draws 10
5 Losses 7
107 Goals For 29
39 Goals Against 25
2.18 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
23 BTTS Yes 11
37 Over 1.5 17
30 Over 2.5 8
20 Over 3.5 4
26 Clean Sheets 12
6 Failed To Score 10
3.67 Shots On Goal 2.37
9.74 Total Shots 7.41
3.65 Corners 2.41
40.2% Ball Possession 31%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Shakhtar Donetsk expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Kolos Kovalivka in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kolos Kovalivka having the stronger overall control. Shakhtar Donetsk come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Shakhtar Donetsk arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 72 points compared to Kolos Kovalivka in 7 on 46, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Kolos Kovalivka.

Shakhtar Donetsk Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 72 points after 29 matches. They have recorded 22 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, with a 71:20 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Eguinaldo (7 goals), L. Traore (7 goals), Kaua Elias (6 goals), with creative support from Pedrinho (6 assists), Isaque Silva (5 assists), A. Bondarenko (5 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 12 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Kolos Kovalivka Analysis

So far, Kolos Kovalivka have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 46 points from 29 matches. The record of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 29:25 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Y. Klymchuk (7 goals), Anton Salabay (4 goals), Elias (3 goals), with creative support from Vladyslav Veleten (4 assists), O. Demchenko (4 assists), A. Rrapaj (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk won 9 times, Kolos Kovalivka won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:10 from Shakhtar Donetsk's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.54 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.1%)
Predicted formations: Shakhtar Donetsk 4-1-4-1 / Kolos Kovalivka 4-3-3
H2H summary: Shakhtar Donetsk wins 9, draws 2, Kolos Kovalivka wins 2

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 6 2 71:21 50 72
L W W W W
2 30 18 6 6 39:17 22 60
W L W D D
3 30 18 5 7 51:21 30 59
W D L W W
4 30 17 6 7 66:36 30 57
W W W D L
5 30 13 12 5 36:19 17 51
W D D D L
6 30 13 10 7 30:25 5 49
W L L W W
7 30 13 9 8 53:46 7 48
D L W W D
8 30 12 10 8 42:36 6 46
W D W D W
9 30 10 11 9 40:31 9 41
L W D L D
10 30 8 8 14 36:45 -9 32
D D W D D
11 30 7 10 13 26:40 -14 31
L L L D D
12 30 7 10 13 28:49 -21 31
L W L D D
13 30 7 7 16 32:48 -16 28
L W W L D
14 30 6 3 21 20:51 -31 21
L L L D L
15 30 3 8 19 24:58 -34 17
D W L L L
16 30 2 7 21 23:74 -51 13
D L L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga