TURKEY SüPER LIG
02.05.2026 17:00
Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu
Referee: R. Coskunses
Samsunspor
Match Timeline
Galatasaray
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Soner Gönül
Samsunspor
9'
Y. Akgun · Assist: V. Osimhen
Galatasaray
22'
Marius · Assist: Y. Kayan
Samsunspor
🟨
29'
Tanguy Coulibaly
Samsunspor
🔄
46'
L. Torreira ↔ I. Gundogan
Galatasaray
57'
C. Ndiaye · Assist: Marius
Samsunspor
🟥
63'
Günay Güvenç
Galatasaray
🔄
66'
L. Sane ↔ B. Sen
Galatasaray
71'
Marius · Assist: Y. Kayan
Samsunspor
🔄
72'
T. Coulibaly ↔ E. Tavsan
Samsunspor
🔄
74'
A. Bardakci ↔ W. Singo
Galatasaray
🔄
74'
B. A. Yilmaz ↔ N. Lang
Galatasaray
🟨
75'
Yalçın Kayan
Samsunspor
82'
C. Ndiaye
Samsunspor
🔄
84'
R. Sallai ↔ S. Boey
Galatasaray
🔄
87'
J. Mendes ↔ Z. Yavru
Samsunspor
🔄
87'
Y. Kayan ↔ Y. E. Cift
Samsunspor
🔄
90+1'
Marius ↔ S. Gonul
Samsunspor
🔄
90+1'
R. Van Drongelen ↔ A. B. Diabbate
Samsunspor

Samsunspor vs Galatasaray Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 94.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 93.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
94.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
93.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Samsunspor Win 30.7%
Draw 13.1%
Galatasaray Win 56.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Samsunspor1.19
Galatasaray1.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
Samsunspor Samsunspor
WWDLW
57 GF / 54 GA
Galatasaray Galatasaray
WLDWL
93 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
2.07
1.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.02
24
BTTS Yes
23
23
Over 2.5
28
4.05
Shots on Goal
5.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Samsunspor Samsunspor 44 matches
Galatasaray Galatasaray 45 matches
Samsunspor Statistic Galatasaray
17 Wins 29
14 Draws 6
13 Losses 10
57 Goals For 93
54 Goals Against 46
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 2.07
1.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.02
24 BTTS Yes 23
32 Over 1.5 37
23 Over 2.5 28
13 Over 3.5 18
15 Clean Sheets 15
11 Failed To Score 8
4.05 Shots On Goal 5.47
12.68 Total Shots 15.27
5.43 Corners 5
54.2% Ball Possession 59%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Galatasaray's more proactive style and Samsunspor's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Galatasaray carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 74 points while Samsunspor sit 7 on 45, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Galatasaray. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Samsunspor Analysis

From their first 31 matches, Samsunspor have collected 45 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 11 wins, 12 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 39:41 reflects good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking weight is carried by C. Holse (8 goals), Marius (7 goals), Anthony Musaba (5 goals), with creative support from E. Kilinc (5 assists), Anthony Musaba (4 assists), L. Tomasson (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Galatasaray Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 74 points from 31 games, Galatasaray bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 23 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a 72:23 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on M. Icardi (14 goals), V. Osimhen (13 goals), B. A. Yilmaz (8 goals), with creative support from B. A. Yilmaz (10 assists), Y. Akgun (9 assists), L. Sane (5 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 11 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Samsunspor won 1 times, Galatasaray won 7 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:22 from Samsunspor's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 4.38 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.9%)
Predicted formations: Samsunspor 4-2-3-1 / Galatasaray 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Samsunspor 6, Galatasaray 3
H2H summary: Samsunspor wins 1, draws 0, Galatasaray wins 7

Standings

Super Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 5 5 77:30 47 77
L W L W W
2 34 21 11 2 77:37 40 74
D W W L D
3 34 20 9 5 61:39 22 69
L W D L D
4 34 17 9 8 59:40 19 60
D L W D L
5 34 16 9 9 58:35 23 57
W W L W D
6 34 14 13 7 42:32 10 55
L W D W D
7 34 13 12 9 46:45 1 51
W L W W W
8 34 10 11 13 46:52 -6 41
D L W L D
9 34 10 10 14 43:50 -7 40
L L L W W
10 34 9 10 15 26:38 -12 37
L L D L D
11 34 7 16 11 41:41 0 37
L W D L L
12 34 9 10 15 43:58 -15 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 33:49 -16 35
W L D L W
14 34 9 7 18 36:47 -11 34
W W L W L
15 34 8 9 17 33:48 -15 33
D W D W W
16 34 8 8 18 33:55 -22 32
W L D L L
17 34 6 12 16 27:62 -35 30
W L D W L
18 34 8 6 20 31:54 -23 30
W W W D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation