05.05.2026 22:00
Estadio Gigante de Arroyito
Referee: W. Sampaio
Rosario Central
Match Timeline
Libertad Asuncion
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Gustavo Aguilar
Libertad Asuncion
🟨
33'
Agustín Sández
Rosario Central
🟨
35'
Robert Rojas
Libertad Asuncion
VAR
40'
Alejo Véliz
Rosario Central
43'
Ángel Di María
Rosario Central
🔄
46'
J. Campaz ↔ E. Copetti
Rosario Central
🔄
46'
I. Franco ↔ R. Villalba
Libertad Asuncion
57'
I. Ovando
Rosario Central
🟨
64'
Gastón Ávila
Rosario Central
🟨
66'
Federico Carrizo
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
72'
A. Sandez ↔ A. Soto
Rosario Central
🔄
73'
A. Veliz ↔ F. Navarro
Rosario Central
🔄
76'
L. Sanabria ↔ M. Rojas
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
80'
G. Aguilar ↔ J. Recalde
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
80'
F. Carrizo ↔ A. Molinas
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
81'
G. Avila ↔ C. Quintana
Rosario Central
🔄
86'
E. Gimenez ↔ E. Veron
Rosario Central
🟨
90+1'
Jorge Recalde
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
90'
I. Ramirez ↔ E. Villalba
Libertad Asuncion

Rosario Central vs Libertad Asuncion Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rosario Central Win 81.3%
Draw 0%
Libertad Asuncion Win 18.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rosario Central1.31
Libertad Asuncion1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rosario Central Rosario Central
WWDLW
26 GF / 16 GA
Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion
WLDWL
33 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
10
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
10
5
Shots on Goal
4.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rosario Central Rosario Central 20 matches
Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 22 matches
Rosario Central Statistic Libertad Asuncion
11 Wins 8
5 Draws 3
4 Losses 11
26 Goals For 33
16 Goals Against 29
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
10 BTTS Yes 9
15 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 10
1 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 7
5 Shots On Goal 4.45
13.89 Total Shots 12.55
5 Corners 4.14
57.1% Ball Possession 51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Rosario Central won 3 times, Libertad Asuncion won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Rosario Central's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Rosario Central 4-2-3-1 / Libertad Asuncion 4-4-2
H2H summary: Rosario Central wins 3, draws 0, Libertad Asuncion wins 1

Standings

Group H
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 11:6 5 13
W W L W W
2 6 4 1 1 9:1 8 13
L W W W W
3 6 3 0 3 7:11 -4 9
W L W L L
4 6 0 0 6 4:13 -9 0
L L L L L
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals