Real Madrid
Match Timeline
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Real Madrid Win 0%
Draw 0%
Rayo Vallecano Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Madrid1.86
Rayo Vallecano1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Madrid
WWDLW
71 GF / 34 GA
Rayo Vallecano
WLDWL
46 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
2.29
Average Goals Scored
1.39
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.21
17
BTTS Yes
15
20
Over 2.5
17
7.23
Shots on Goal
4.52
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Real Madrid
31 matches
Rayo Vallecano
33 matches
| Real Madrid | Statistic | Rayo Vallecano |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 14 |
| 3 | Draws | 8 |
| 6 | Losses | 11 |
| 71 | Goals For | 46 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 2.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.39 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 7.23 | Shots On Goal | 4.52 |
| 19.65 | Total Shots | 14.18 |
| 6.71 | Corners | 6.42 |
| 59.8% | Ball Possession | 56.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid won 9 times, Rayo Vallecano won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:16 from Real Madrid's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Real Madrid 4-4-2 / Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Real Madrid wins 9, draws 4, Rayo Vallecano wins 2
Standings
Primera División
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 59 | 94 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Real Madrid
Home
|
38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 86 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 26 | 72 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 18 | 69 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 11 | 60 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 5 | 54 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | -6 | 51 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Rayo Vallecano
Away
|
38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | -3 | 50 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | -9 | 49 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | -2 | 46 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | -12 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | -15 | 45 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | -14 | 43 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | -12 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | -8 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | -14 | 42 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | -6 | 42 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | -10 | 42 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | -16 | 41 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | -34 | 29 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2