20.01.2026 20:00
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Referee: E. Eskas
Real Madrid
Match Timeline
Monaco
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
K. Mbappe · Assist: F. Valverde
Real Madrid
⚽
26'
K. Mbappe · Assist: Vinicius Junior
Real Madrid
🟨
33'
Denis Zakaria
Monaco
🟨
44'
Jude Bellingham
Real Madrid
🔄
46'
R. Asencio ↔ D. Ceballos
Real Madrid
⚽
51'
F. Mastantuono · Assist: Vinicius Junior
Real Madrid
⚽
55'
T. Kehrer · Assist: Vinicius Junior
Real Madrid
🔄
61'
Vanderson ↔ K. Ouattara
Monaco
🔄
61'
A. Fati ↔ M. Coulibaly
Monaco
⚽
63'
Vinicius Junior · Assist: A. Guler
Real Madrid
🔄
71'
F. Mastantuono ↔ G. Garcia
Real Madrid
⚽
72'
J. Teze
Monaco
🔄
73'
F. Balogun ↔ G. Ilenikhena
Monaco
🔄
73'
D. Zakaria ↔ A. Bamba
Monaco
🔄
76'
A. Guler ↔ D. Carvajal
Real Madrid
🔄
76'
E. Camavinga ↔ F. Garcia
Real Madrid
⚽
80'
J. Bellingham · Assist: F. Valverde
Real Madrid
🔄
83'
F. Valverde ↔ D. Mesonero
Real Madrid
🔄
84'
A. Golovin ↔ L. Michal
Monaco

Real Madrid vs Monaco Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Real Madrid Win 0%
Draw 0%
Monaco Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Madrid1.97
Monaco1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Madrid Real Madrid
WWDLW
61 GF / 29 GA
Monaco Monaco
WLDWL
40 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
2.18
Average Goals Scored
1.54
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
15
BTTS Yes
17
18
Over 2.5
16
7.46
Shots on Goal
4.54

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Madrid Real Madrid 28 matches
Monaco Monaco 26 matches
Real Madrid Statistic Monaco
20 Wins 11
3 Draws 5
5 Losses 10
61 Goals For 40
29 Goals Against 43
2.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
15 BTTS Yes 17
23 Over 1.5 17
18 Over 2.5 16
10 Over 3.5 14
11 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 5
7.46 Shots On Goal 4.54
19.79 Total Shots 12.85
6.68 Corners 4.62
60% Ball Possession 51.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid won 1 times, Monaco won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:1 from Real Madrid's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 7 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Real Madrid 4-3-3 / Monaco 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Real Madrid wins 1, draws 0, Monaco wins 0

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 23:4 19 24
W W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 22:8 14 21
W W W L W
3 8 6 0 2 20:8 12 18
W W W L W
4 8 5 2 1 17:7 10 17
W W W L W
5 8 5 1 2 22:14 8 16
W W W L D
6 8 5 1 2 17:10 7 16
W W L W D
7 8 5 1 2 17:11 6 16
W W L W D
8 8 5 1 2 15:9 6 16
W L W L W
9 8 5 0 3 21:12 9 15
L W L W L
10 8 5 0 3 15:7 8 15
W L L L W
11 8 4 2 2 21:11 10 14
D L D W L
12 8 4 2 2 17:7 10 14
D W D L W
13 8 3 4 1 14:10 4 13
D W W W D
14 8 4 1 3 17:15 2 13
L D W W W
15 8 4 1 3 10:10 0 13
L L W W W
16 8 3 3 2 13:14 -1 12
W L D W W
17 8 3 2 3 19:17 2 11
L L D W L
18 8 3 2 3 10:14 -4 11
W W W L D
19 8 3 1 4 15:17 -2 10
W W L L D
20 8 3 1 4 9:11 -2 10
L D L L W
21 8 2 4 2 8:14 -6 10
D L W D W
22 8 3 1 4 13:21 -8 10
L W L L D
23 8 2 3 3 14:15 -1 9
W W D L L
24 8 3 0 5 10:12 -2 9
W L W W L
25 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
L L W W L
26 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
W L L D W
27 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
W L L W L
28 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
L L L W D
29 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L W D D L
30 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
L D L W D
31 8 2 2 4 12:21 -9 8
L D W W L
32 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
L W W L L
33 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
L L L L D
34 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
L L L D L
35 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
L L L L L
36 8 0 1 7 7:22 -15 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)