11.03.2026 20:00
Referee: M. Mariani
Real Madrid
Match Timeline
Manchester City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
20'
F. Valverde · Assist: T. Courtois
Real Madrid
⚽
27'
F. Valverde · Assist: Vinicius Junior
Real Madrid
⚽
42'
F. Valverde · Assist: B. Diaz
Real Madrid
🔄
46'
F. Mendy ↔ F. Garcia
Real Madrid
🔄
46'
Savinho ↔ T. Reijnders
Manchester City
🟨
57'
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Manchester City
🔄
70'
A. Guler ↔ E. Camavinga
Real Madrid
🔄
70'
B. Silva ↔ R. Ait-Nouri
Manchester City
🔄
70'
A. Semenyo ↔ R. Cherki
Manchester City
🔄
76'
T. Pitarch ↔ M. A. Moran
Real Madrid
🔄
76'
B. Diaz ↔ F. Mastantuono
Real Madrid
🟨
82'
Rayan Aït-Nouri
Manchester City
🔄
82'
E. Haaland ↔ O. Marmoush
Manchester City
🔄
83'
T. Alexander-Arnold ↔ D. Carvajal
Real Madrid

Real Madrid vs Manchester City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Real Madrid Win 0%
Draw 0%
Manchester City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Madrid1.69
Manchester City1.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Madrid Real Madrid
WWDLW
85 GF / 41 GA
Manchester City Manchester City
WLDWL
89 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
2.18
Average Goals Scored
2.23
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
22
BTTS Yes
20
25
Over 2.5
24
6.85
Shots on Goal
5.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Madrid Real Madrid 39 matches
Manchester City Manchester City 40 matches
Real Madrid Statistic Manchester City
28 Wins 26
3 Draws 7
8 Losses 7
85 Goals For 89
41 Goals Against 38
2.18 Avg Goals Scored 2.23
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
22 BTTS Yes 20
32 Over 1.5 36
25 Over 2.5 24
13 Over 3.5 12
14 Clean Sheets 16
4 Failed To Score 5
6.85 Shots On Goal 5.73
18.56 Total Shots 15.15
6.72 Corners 5.55
59.9% Ball Possession 60.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid won 6 times, Manchester City won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:28 from Real Madrid's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 12 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Real Madrid 4-4-2 / Manchester City 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Real Madrid wins 6, draws 3, Manchester City wins 6

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 23:4 19 24
W W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 22:8 14 21
W W W L W
3 8 6 0 2 20:8 12 18
W W W L W
4 8 5 2 1 17:7 10 17
W W W L W
5 8 5 1 2 22:14 8 16
W W W L D
6 8 5 1 2 17:10 7 16
W W L W D
7 8 5 1 2 17:11 6 16
W W L W D
8 8 5 1 2 15:9 6 16
W L W L W
9 8 5 0 3 21:12 9 15
L W L W L
10 8 5 0 3 15:7 8 15
W L L L W
11 8 4 2 2 21:11 10 14
D L D W L
12 8 4 2 2 17:7 10 14
D W D L W
13 8 3 4 1 14:10 4 13
D W W W D
14 8 4 1 3 17:15 2 13
L D W W W
15 8 4 1 3 10:10 0 13
L L W W W
16 8 3 3 2 13:14 -1 12
W L D W W
17 8 3 2 3 19:17 2 11
L L D W L
18 8 3 2 3 10:14 -4 11
W W W L D
19 8 3 1 4 15:17 -2 10
W W L L D
20 8 3 1 4 9:11 -2 10
L D L L W
21 8 2 4 2 8:14 -6 10
D L W D W
22 8 3 1 4 13:21 -8 10
L W L L D
23 8 2 3 3 14:15 -1 9
W W D L L
24 8 3 0 5 10:12 -2 9
W L W W L
25 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
L L W W L
26 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
W L L D W
27 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
W L L W L
28 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
L L L W D
29 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L W D D L
30 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
L D L W D
31 8 2 2 4 12:21 -9 8
L D W W L
32 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
L W W L L
33 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
L L L L D
34 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
L L L D L
35 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
L L L L L
36 8 0 1 7 7:22 -15 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)