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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
28.02.2026 15:00
Port Vale
FT
1 - 1
Luton
Vale Park
Referee: L. Swabey
Port Vale
Match Timeline
Luton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
5'
N. Wells · Assist: E. Lawrence
Luton
🟨
6'
George Hall
Port Vale
🟨
22'
Joseph Johnson
Luton
🟨
25'
Cameron Humphreys
Port Vale
⚽
29'
B. Waine · Assist: G. Hall
Port Vale
🟨
40'
Jordan Clark
Luton
🟨
43'
Kal Naismith
Luton
🔄
61'
J. Richards ↔ K. Palmer
Luton
🔄
61'
N. Wells ↔ A. Al Hamadi
Luton
🔄
66'
J. Stockley ↔ A. Gray
Port Vale
🔄
71'
L. Walsh ↔ D. van den Berg
Luton
🔄
77'
R. Walters ↔ J. Shipley
Port Vale
🔄
78'
G. Hall ↔ M. Sherif
Port Vale
🔄
80'
I. Jones ↔ S. Morris
Luton
🔄
81'
N. Lonwijk ↔ H. Odoffin
Luton
🟨
87'
Ben Waine
Port Vale

Port Vale vs Luton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Port Vale Win 0%
Draw 0%
Luton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Port Vale1.08
Luton1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Port Vale Port Vale
WWDLW
32 GF / 44 GA
Luton Luton
WLDWL
48 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
1.37
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
12
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
18
3.24
Shots on Goal
3.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Port Vale Port Vale 34 matches
Luton Luton 35 matches
Port Vale Statistic Luton
9 Wins 14
8 Draws 8
17 Losses 13
32 Goals For 48
44 Goals Against 45
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
12 BTTS Yes 16
18 Over 1.5 24
14 Over 2.5 18
8 Over 3.5 11
10 Clean Sheets 11
16 Failed To Score 9
3.24 Shots On Goal 3.63
11.62 Total Shots 11.66
5.32 Corners 5.66
45.4% Ball Possession 55.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Port Vale won 1 times, Luton won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:5 from Port Vale's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Port Vale 4-3-3 / Luton 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Port Vale wins 1, draws 2, Luton wins 1

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Lincoln
46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2
Cardiff
46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3
Stockport County
46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4
Bradford
46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5
Bolton
46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6
Stevenage
46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7
Luton Away
46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8
Plymouth
46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9
Huddersfield
46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10
Mansfield Town
46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11
Wycombe
46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12
Reading
46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13
Blackpool
46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14
Doncaster
46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15
Barnsley
46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16
Wigan
46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17
Burton Albion
46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18
Peterborough
46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19
AFC Wimbledon
46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20
Leyton Orient
46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21
Exeter City
46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22
Port Vale Home
46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23
Rotherham
46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24
Northampton
46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two