11.03.2026 20:00
Parc des Princes
Referee: A. Hernandez
Paris Saint Germain
Match Timeline
Chelsea
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
B. Barcola · Assist: J. Neves
Paris Saint Germain
⚽
28'
M. Gusto · Assist: E. Fernandez
Chelsea
⚽
40'
O. Dembele
Paris Saint Germain
⚽
57'
E. Fernandez · Assist: P. Neto
Chelsea
🔄
62'
D. Doue ↔ K. Kvaratskhelia
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
69'
O. Dembele ↔ Lee Kang-In
Paris Saint Germain
⚽
74'
Vitinha · Assist: K. Kvaratskhelia
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
78'
B. Barcola ↔ S. Mayulu
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
78'
W. Zaire-Emery ↔ L. Hernandez
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
83'
Joao Pedro ↔ L. Delap
Chelsea
🔄
83'
C. Palmer ↔ R. Lavia
Chelsea
⚽
86'
K. Kvaratskhelia · Assist: W. Pacho
Paris Saint Germain
🟨
88'
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
Paris Saint Germain
🔄
88'
M. Gusto ↔ A. Garnacho
Chelsea
⚽
90'
K. Kvaratskhelia · Assist: A. Hakimi
Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Paris Saint Germain Win 0%
Draw 0%
Chelsea Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Paris Saint Germain1.83
Chelsea1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
WWDLW
86 GF / 40 GA
Chelsea Chelsea
WLDWL
83 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
2.26
Average Goals Scored
2.08
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
19
BTTS Yes
27
24
Over 2.5
28
7.03
Shots on Goal
5.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain 38 matches
Chelsea Chelsea 40 matches
Paris Saint Germain Statistic Chelsea
24 Wins 21
7 Draws 10
7 Losses 9
86 Goals For 83
40 Goals Against 47
2.26 Avg Goals Scored 2.08
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
19 BTTS Yes 27
29 Over 1.5 35
24 Over 2.5 28
15 Over 3.5 18
16 Clean Sheets 13
4 Failed To Score 2
7.03 Shots On Goal 5.3
19.03 Total Shots 14.2
6.37 Corners 5.98
69.3% Ball Possession 59.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Paris Saint Germain won 5 times, Chelsea won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:13 from Paris Saint Germain's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.44 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3 / Chelsea 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Paris Saint Germain wins 5, draws 2, Chelsea wins 2

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 23:4 19 24
W W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 22:8 14 21
W W W L W
3 8 6 0 2 20:8 12 18
W W W L W
4 8 5 2 1 17:7 10 17
W W W L W
5 8 5 1 2 22:14 8 16
W W W L D
6 8 5 1 2 17:10 7 16
W W L W D
7 8 5 1 2 17:11 6 16
W W L W D
8 8 5 1 2 15:9 6 16
W L W L W
9 8 5 0 3 21:12 9 15
L W L W L
10 8 5 0 3 15:7 8 15
W L L L W
11 8 4 2 2 21:11 10 14
D L D W L
12 8 4 2 2 17:7 10 14
D W D L W
13 8 3 4 1 14:10 4 13
D W W W D
14 8 4 1 3 17:15 2 13
L D W W W
15 8 4 1 3 10:10 0 13
L L W W W
16 8 3 3 2 13:14 -1 12
W L D W W
17 8 3 2 3 19:17 2 11
L L D W L
18 8 3 2 3 10:14 -4 11
W W W L D
19 8 3 1 4 15:17 -2 10
W W L L D
20 8 3 1 4 9:11 -2 10
L D L L W
21 8 2 4 2 8:14 -6 10
D L W D W
22 8 3 1 4 13:21 -8 10
L W L L D
23 8 2 3 3 14:15 -1 9
W W D L L
24 8 3 0 5 10:12 -2 9
W L W W L
25 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
L L W W L
26 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
W L L D W
27 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
W L L W L
28 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
L L L W D
29 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
L W D D L
30 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
L D L W D
31 8 2 2 4 12:21 -9 8
L D W W L
32 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
L W W L L
33 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
L L L L D
34 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
L L L D L
35 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
L L L L L
36 8 0 1 7 7:22 -15 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)