SPAIN › LA LIGA
21.02.2026 17:30
Estadio El Sadar
Referee: A. Quintero
Osasuna
Match Timeline
Real Madrid
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
Aimar Oroz
Osasuna
VAR
35'
Ante Budimir
Osasuna
🟨
37'
Thibaut Courtois
Real Madrid
⚽
38'
A. Budimir
Osasuna
🔄
64'
D. Carvajal ↔ T. Alexander-Arnold
Real Madrid
🔄
64'
E. Camavinga ↔ B. Diaz
Real Madrid
🟨
66'
Jon Moncayola
Osasuna
🔄
66'
R. Garcia ↔ A. Bretones
Osasuna
🔄
67'
A. Budimir ↔ R. Garcia
Osasuna
🔄
71'
A. Oroz ↔ I. Munoz
Osasuna
⚽
73'
Vinicius Junior · Assist: F. Valverde
Real Madrid
🔄
75'
F. Valverde ↔ G. Garcia
Real Madrid
🔄
82'
A. Guler ↔ D. Ceballos
Real Madrid
🔄
83'
J. Moncayola ↔ R. Moro
Osasuna
🔄
83'
V. Rosier ↔ I. Arguibide
Osasuna
🟨
84'
Trent Alexander-Arnold
Real Madrid
🟨
88'
Vinícius Júnior
Real Madrid
VAR
90+1'
Raúl García de Haro
Osasuna
🟨
90+3'
David Alaba
Real Madrid
⚽
90'
R. Garcia · Assist: R. Moro
Osasuna

Osasuna vs Real Madrid Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Osasuna Win 0%
Draw 0%
Real Madrid Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Osasuna1.35
Real Madrid1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Osasuna Osasuna
WWDLW
44 GF / 35 GA
Real Madrid Real Madrid
WLDWL
80 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
2.29
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
14
BTTS Yes
19
14
Over 2.5
22
3.96
Shots on Goal
7.09

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Osasuna Osasuna 28 matches
Real Madrid Real Madrid 35 matches
Osasuna Statistic Real Madrid
11 Wins 26
7 Draws 3
10 Losses 6
44 Goals For 80
35 Goals Against 36
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 2.29
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
14 BTTS Yes 19
20 Over 1.5 29
14 Over 2.5 22
10 Over 3.5 13
7 Clean Sheets 14
9 Failed To Score 3
3.96 Shots On Goal 7.09
11.59 Total Shots 18.94
3.52 Corners 6.71
45.9% Ball Possession 59.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Osasuna won 1 times, Real Madrid won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:31 from Osasuna's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Osasuna 4-2-3-1 / Real Madrid 4-4-2
H2H summary: Osasuna wins 1, draws 4, Real Madrid wins 10

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2