BRAZIL › SERIE B
23.05.2026 19:00
Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi
Referee: J. Pinheiro
Novorizontino
Match Timeline
Ceara
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
Matheus Bianqui · Assist: Romulo
Novorizontino
🟨
27'
Júlio César
Ceara
⚽
44'
Melk · Assist: Fernandinho
Ceara
🔄
46'
Leo Naldi ↔ Juninho
Novorizontino
🔄
46'
Gustavo Prado ↔ R. Ramos
Ceara
🔄
46'
Fernando ↔ Sanchez
Ceara
🔄
65'
Matheus Araujo ↔ Matheusinho
Ceara
🔄
65'
Melk ↔ Wendel Silva
Ceara
🔄
66'
Vinicius Paiva ↔ Ronald Barcellos
Novorizontino
🟨
67'
Nilson Castrillón
Novorizontino
🔄
75'
Tavinho ↔ Carlao
Novorizontino
🔄
75'
Diego ↔ Juan Alano
Ceara
🔄
76'
N. Castrillon ↔ Kauan Alemao
Novorizontino
🟥
78'
Sánchez
Ceara
🟨
82'
Bruno Ferreira
Ceara
⚽
87'
Juninho
Novorizontino
🟨
90+5'
Rafael Ramos
Ceara

Novorizontino vs Ceara Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
26.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Novorizontino Win 46.8%
Draw 23.4%
Ceara Win 29.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Novorizontino1.13
Ceara1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Novorizontino Novorizontino
WWDLW
11 GF / 9 GA
Ceara Ceara
WLDWL
10 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
2
4.11
Shots on Goal
4.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Novorizontino Novorizontino 9 matches
Ceara Ceara 9 matches
Novorizontino Statistic Ceara
3 Wins 3
4 Draws 4
2 Losses 2
11 Goals For 10
9 Goals Against 9
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 3
4.11 Shots On Goal 4.78
12.89 Total Shots 13.89
5.78 Corners 5.56
46.8% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ceara. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ceara having the stronger overall control.

Novorizontino Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Novorizontino have collected 13 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 11:9 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Robson (3 goals), Carlao (2 goals), Tavinho (2 goals), with creative support from Romulo (3 assists), Juninho (3 assists), Robson (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Ceara Analysis

Ceara are currently 9 in the standings with 13 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:9 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Juan Alano (2 goals), Matheus Araujo (2 goals), Fernandinho (1 goals), with creative support from Melk (2 assists), Enzo Lodovico (1 assists), Giulio (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Novorizontino won 3 times, Ceara won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:6 from Novorizontino's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.6%)
Predicted formations: Novorizontino 4-2-3-1 / Ceara 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Novorizontino wins 3, draws 0, Ceara wins 2

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 16 6 8 43:31 12 54
W W D W L
2 30 14 9 7 49:27 22 51
D L D W W
3 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 29 13 8 8 41:36 5 47
W D W W D
6 29 13 8 8 28:27 1 47
L L L W L
7 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
8 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 10 13 6 30:22 8 43
W D W L W
11 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
12 30 11 9 10 40:31 9 42
D W W L W
13 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
14 29 10 8 11 35:36 -1 38
L D L W W
15
Ceara Away
29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 30 7 7 16 39:43 -4 28
L L W W L
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
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