Nantes vs Marseille Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
60.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
30.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Nantes
Marseille
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nantes
33 matches
Marseille
43 matches
| Nantes | Statistic | Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 22 |
| 9 | Draws | 6 |
| 19 | Losses | 15 |
| 32 | Goals For | 90 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 57 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.09 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 30 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 18 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.39 | Shots On Goal | 5.72 |
| 11.03 | Total Shots | 14.79 |
| 3.42 | Corners | 5.33 |
| 42.9% | Ball Possession | 57.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Marseille's more proactive style and Nantes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Marseille arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Marseille. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nantes expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Marseille in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Marseille having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Marseille carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 53 points while Nantes sit 17 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Nantes sit 17 with 20 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 19 defeats with a 26:51 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Abline (5 goals), Mostafa Mohamed (4 goals), Fabien Centonze (3 goals), with creative support from M. Abline (3 assists), Chidozie Awaziem (2 assists), B. Guirassy (1 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Marseille sit 6 with 53 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 16 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 59:41 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Greenwood (15 goals), P. Aubameyang (9 goals), A. Gouiri (7 goals), with creative support from M. Greenwood (6 assists), P. Aubameyang (5 assists), Igor Paixão (5 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nantes won 4 times, Marseille won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:21 from Nantes's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 |
Marseille
Away
|
34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 |
Nantes
Home
|
33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|