Motor Lublin vs Lech Poznan Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
55.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Motor Lublin
Lech Poznan
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Motor Lublin
30 matches
Lech Poznan
46 matches
| Motor Lublin | Statistic | Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 23 |
| 12 | Draws | 12 |
| 9 | Losses | 11 |
| 39 | Goals For | 86 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 64 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.87 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 32 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 37 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 31 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 20 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.6 | Shots On Goal | 5.48 |
| 11.5 | Total Shots | 15.22 |
| 5.5 | Corners | 4.91 |
| 51.6% | Ball Possession | 51.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Lech Poznan's more proactive style and Motor Lublin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Lech Poznan. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Motor Lublin expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Lech Poznan in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lech Poznan having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Lech Poznan carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 52 points while Motor Lublin sit 10 on 39, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Motor Lublin sit 10 with 39 points after 30 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 12 draws, and 9 losses, while the 39:45 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Czubak (16 goals), M. Ndiaye (8 goals), B. Wolski (4 goals), with creative support from B. van Hoeven (4 assists), K. Czubak (3 assists), B. Wolski (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Lech Poznan come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 52 points after 30 matches. With 14 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 55:41, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Ishak (15 goals), Luis Palma (7 goals), Ali Gholizadeh (6 goals), with creative support from Luis Palma (5 assists), Ali Gholizadeh (4 assists), J. Pereira (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Motor Lublin won 1 times, Lech Poznan won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:6 from Motor Lublin's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
Away
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 62:45 | 17 | 60 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
| 2 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:38 | 12 | 56 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56:41 | 15 | 56 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 51:40 | 11 | 55 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:45 | 6 | 50 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 49 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 46 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 47:49 | -2 | 45 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:53 | -1 | 44 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:40 | 0 | 43 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 |
Motor Lublin
Home
|
34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:53 | -7 | 43 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 42 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:41 | 0 | 42 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:46 | -4 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 62:65 | -3 | 38 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:61 | -27 | 36 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 34 |
W
W
L
L
W
|