AUSTRALIA › A-LEAGUE
26.01.2026 06:40
AAMI Park
Referee: D. Elder
Melbourne Victory
Match Timeline
Sydney
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
17'
Jason Davidson
Melbourne Victory
🟨
31'
Joel King
Sydney
🟨
32'
Marcel Tisserand
Sydney
🟨
39'
Denis Genreau
Melbourne Victory
🟨
45+2'
Nikos Vergos
Melbourne Victory
🔄
45+5'
A. Grant ↔ J. Courtney-Perkins
Sydney
VAR
50'
Jason Davidson
Melbourne Victory
⚽
53'
Clarismario · Assist: J. Mata
Melbourne Victory
🟨
54'
Clarismario
Melbourne Victory
🔄
56'
P. Okon-Engstler ↔ W. Kamijo
Sydney
🔄
56'
P. Wood ↔ M. Macallister
Sydney
🔄
56'
M. Tisserand ↔ A. Popovic
Sydney
🟨
57'
Jason Davidson
Melbourne Victory
⚽
64'
Clarismario · Assist: N. Vergos
Melbourne Victory
VAR
67'
Piero Quispe
Sydney
🔄
68'
D. Genreau ↔ J. Valadon
Melbourne Victory
🔄
68'
M. Grimaldi ↔ N. Velupillay
Melbourne Victory
🟨
70'
Wataru Kamijo
Sydney
🔄
76'
Clarismario ↔ K. Jelacic
Melbourne Victory
⚽
79'
K. Jelacic · Assist: J. Mata
Melbourne Victory
⚽
82'
L. Jackson · Assist: J. Mata
Melbourne Victory
🔄
83'
J. Mata ↔ R. Piscopo
Melbourne Victory
🔄
83'
N. Vergos ↔ J. Reec
Melbourne Victory
🔄
89'
T. Quintal ↔ N. Alfaro
Sydney
🔄
89'
V. Campuzano ↔ A. Akon
Sydney
🔄
90+1'
S. Esposito ↔ J. Inserra
Melbourne Victory

Melbourne Victory vs Sydney Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Melbourne Victory Win 0%
Draw 0%
Sydney Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Melbourne Victory1.04
Sydney1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
WWDLW
16 GF / 18 GA
Sydney Sydney
WLDWL
18 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
5
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
5
5
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 13 matches
Sydney Sydney 12 matches
Melbourne Victory Statistic Sydney
5 Wins 7
2 Draws 1
6 Losses 4
16 Goals For 18
18 Goals Against 9
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
5 BTTS Yes 3
8 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 6
6 Failed To Score 4
5 Shots On Goal 5.5
16.54 Total Shots 15.92
5.23 Corners 4.42
51.3% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Melbourne Victory won 6 times, Sydney won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:20 from Melbourne Victory's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Melbourne Victory 4-2-3-1 / Sydney 4-2-2-2
H2H summary: Melbourne Victory wins 6, draws 3, Sydney wins 6

Standings

A-League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 3 8 55:39 16 48
W D D L W
2 26 12 7 7 46:36 10 43
W W D D W
3 26 11 9 6 42:29 13 42
D L D D L
4 26 11 7 8 44:33 11 40
W D D L W
5 26 11 6 9 33:25 8 39
D D W D L
6 26 10 8 8 33:33 0 38
L W W W W
7 26 9 7 10 37:44 -7 34
W L L W W
8 26 9 6 11 36:48 -12 33
L W L W W
9 26 8 8 10 35:42 -7 32
L W D L D
10 26 8 7 11 32:39 -7 31
W D W D D
11 26 6 8 12 27:36 -9 26
L L D D L
12 26 5 6 15 27:43 -16 21
L L L L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)