FRANCE › LIGUE 1
29.11.2025 20:05
Orange Vélodrome
Referee: Eric Wattellier, France
Marseille
Match Timeline
Toulouse
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
Emersonn · Assist: D. Sidibe
Toulouse
🟨
42'
Angel Gomes
Marseille
🔄
46'
A. Gomes ↔ R. Vaz
Marseille
⚽
66'
I. Paixao · Assist: B. Nadir
Marseille
⚽
74'
P. Hojbjerg · Assist: P. Aubameyang
Marseille
🟨
75'
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
Marseille
🔄
76'
N. Aguerd ↔ L. Balerdi
Marseille
🔄
76'
A. Vossah ↔ R. Messali
Toulouse
🔄
77'
B. Nadir ↔ G. Kondogbia
Marseille
🔄
78'
D. Methalie ↔ W. Kamanzi
Toulouse
🟨
81'
Mark McKenzie
Toulouse
🔄
85'
Emersonn ↔ N. Edjouma
Toulouse
🔄
85'
D. Sidibe ↔ J. Vignolo
Toulouse
🔄
89'
F. Magri ↔ S. Hidalgo
Toulouse
🔄
90'
Emerson ↔ C. Egan-Riley
Marseille
🔄
90'
I. Paixao ↔ M. O'Riley
Marseille
⚽
90'
S. Hidalgo · Assist: M. McKenzie
Toulouse

Marseille vs Toulouse Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Toulouse Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille1.89
Toulouse1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
41 GF / 18 GA
Toulouse Toulouse
WLDWL
18 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2.28
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
9
BTTS Yes
6
13
Over 2.5
6
5.72
Shots on Goal
3.92

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 18 matches
Toulouse Toulouse 13 matches
Marseille Statistic Toulouse
11 Wins 4
1 Draws 4
6 Losses 5
41 Goals For 18
18 Goals Against 17
2.28 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
9 BTTS Yes 6
13 Over 1.5 8
13 Over 2.5 6
6 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 4
5.72 Shots On Goal 3.92
14 Total Shots 13.54
5.11 Corners 5.23
57.1% Ball Possession 43.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 11 times, Toulouse won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 38:15 from Marseille's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Marseille 4-2-3-1 / Toulouse 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Marseille wins 11, draws 4, Toulouse wins 0

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
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Relegation