FRANCE › LIGUE 1
01.03.2026 19:45
Orange Vélodrome
Referee: J. Brisard
Marseille
Match Timeline
Lyon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
C. Tolisso · Assist: Endrick
Lyon
🟨
30'
Clinton Mata
Lyon
🟨
45+1'
Tyler Morton
Lyon
🔄
46'
Q. Timber ↔ I. Paixao
Marseille
⚽
52'
I. Paixao · Assist: P. Hojbjerg
Marseille
🔄
60'
R. Yaremchuk ↔ R. Himbert
Lyon
🔄
63'
H. J. Traore ↔ E. Nwaneri
Marseille
🟨
74'
Geoffrey Kondogbia
Marseille
⚽
76'
R. Himbert · Assist: Endrick
Lyon
⚽
81'
P. Aubameyang · Assist: I. Paixao
Marseille
🟨
83'
Nayef Aguerd
Marseille
🔄
84'
T. Weah ↔ B. Pavard
Marseille
🔄
85'
G. Kondogbia ↔ H. Abdelli
Marseille
🔄
88'
N. Tagliafico ↔ Abner Vinicius
Lyon
🟨
90+8'
Himad Abdelli
Marseille
🔄
90+4'
M. Greenwood ↔ T. Nnadi
Marseille
⚽
90'
P. Aubameyang · Assist: E. Nwaneri
Marseille

Marseille vs Lyon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Lyon Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille1.7
Lyon1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
77 GF / 45 GA
Lyon Lyon
WLDWL
62 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
2.26
Average Goals Scored
1.82
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
15
BTTS Yes
13
25
Over 2.5
17
5.91
Shots on Goal
5.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 34 matches
Lyon Lyon 34 matches
Marseille Statistic Lyon
18 Wins 24
4 Draws 3
12 Losses 7
77 Goals For 62
45 Goals Against 29
2.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
15 BTTS Yes 13
27 Over 1.5 22
25 Over 2.5 17
15 Over 3.5 9
10 Clean Sheets 19
9 Failed To Score 4
5.91 Shots On Goal 5.15
14.32 Total Shots 13.12
4.97 Corners 5.62
58.1% Ball Possession 57.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 7 times, Lyon won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:18 from Marseille's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Marseille 4-2-3-1 / Lyon 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Marseille wins 7, draws 2, Lyon wins 5

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2 34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4
Lyon Away
34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation