FRANCE › LIGUE 1
24.01.2026 20:05
Orange Vélodrome
Referee: B. Bastien
Marseille
Match Timeline
Lens
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
A. Gouiri · Assist: I. Paixao
Marseille
⚽
13'
E. Nwaneri · Assist: P. Hojbjerg
Marseille
🟨
37'
Wesley Saïd
Lens
🔄
58'
E. Nwaneri ↔ M. Greenwood
Marseille
🔄
59'
O. Edouard ↔ A. Sima
Lens
🟨
61'
Mamadou Sangare
Lens
🟨
70'
Quinten Timber
Marseille
🟨
70'
Florian Thauvin
Lens
🔄
72'
A. Thomasson ↔ A. Bulatovic
Lens
🔄
72'
W. Said ↔ R. Fofana
Lens
🔄
74'
N. Aguerd ↔ B. Pavard
Marseille
🔄
74'
H. J. Traore ↔ D. Bakola
Marseille
🔄
74'
Q. Timber ↔ M. O'Riley
Marseille
⚽
75'
A. Gouiri · Assist: T. Weah
Marseille
🔄
78'
R. Aguilar ↔ A. Bermont
Lens
🔄
78'
F. Thauvin ↔ F. Sotoca
Lens
🔄
80'
A. Gouiri ↔ P. Aubameyang
Marseille
⚽
85'
R. Fofana · Assist: M. Sangare
Lens

Marseille vs Lens Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Marseille Win 0%
Draw 0%
Lens Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Marseille1.77
Lens1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille Marseille
WWDLW
67 GF / 30 GA
Lens Lens
WLDWL
38 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
2.48
Average Goals Scored
1.9
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
0.7
12
BTTS Yes
9
19
Over 2.5
13
6.15
Shots on Goal
5.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Marseille Marseille 27 matches
Lens Lens 20 matches
Marseille Statistic Lens
16 Wins 16
2 Draws 1
9 Losses 3
67 Goals For 38
30 Goals Against 14
2.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 0.7
12 BTTS Yes 9
20 Over 1.5 16
19 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 4
6.15 Shots On Goal 5.65
14.67 Total Shots 15.25
5.26 Corners 6.05
59.5% Ball Possession 51.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Marseille won 7 times, Lens won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:17 from Marseille's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Marseille 3-4-2-1 / Lens 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Marseille wins 7, draws 1, Lens wins 7

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2
Lens Away
34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
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