ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
13.05.2026 19:00
Etihad Stadium
Referee: S. Attwell
Manchester City
Match Timeline
Crystal Palace
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
32'
A. Semenyo · Assist: P. Foden
Manchester City
⚽
40'
O. Marmoush · Assist: P. Foden
Manchester City
🟨
52'
Tyrick Mitchell
Crystal Palace
🔄
58'
J. Gvardiol ↔ J. Doku
Manchester City
🔄
58'
M. Nunes ↔ N. Ake
Manchester City
🔄
60'
Y. Pino ↔ I. Sarr
Crystal Palace
🔄
60'
J. Mateta ↔ J. S. Larsen
Crystal Palace
🔄
60'
W. Hughes ↔ A. Wharton
Crystal Palace
🔄
75'
B. Johnson ↔ D. Kamada
Crystal Palace
🔄
79'
B. Silva ↔ M. Kovacic
Manchester City
🔄
79'
O. Marmoush ↔ R. Cherki
Manchester City
🟨
81'
Daichi Kamada
Crystal Palace
🔄
82'
P. Foden ↔ J. Stones
Manchester City
🔄
82'
D. Munoz ↔ N. Clyne
Crystal Palace
⚽
84'
Savinho · Assist: R. Cherki
Manchester City

Manchester City vs Crystal Palace Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 79.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 90.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
79.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
90.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Manchester City Win 76.8%
Draw 0%
Crystal Palace Win 23.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manchester City1.76
Crystal Palace1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manchester City Manchester City
WWDLW
109 GF / 49 GA
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
WLDWL
65 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
2.18
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.98
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
25
BTTS Yes
27
32
Over 2.5
28
5.92
Shots on Goal
4.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manchester City Manchester City 50 matches
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 52 matches
Manchester City Statistic Crystal Palace
32 Wins 20
9 Draws 15
9 Losses 17
109 Goals For 65
49 Goals Against 58
2.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.98 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
25 BTTS Yes 27
45 Over 1.5 37
32 Over 2.5 28
14 Over 3.5 10
20 Clean Sheets 19
6 Failed To Score 14
5.92 Shots On Goal 4.27
16.08 Total Shots 13.1
6.4 Corners 4.4
60.8% Ball Possession 49.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Manchester City's more proactive style and Crystal Palace's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Crystal Palace. Manchester City come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Manchester City expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Crystal Palace in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Crystal Palace having the stronger overall control. Manchester City arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 74 points compared to Crystal Palace in 15 on 44, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Manchester City Analysis

Manchester City approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 74 points after 35 outings. They have recorded 22 wins, 8 draws, and 5 losses, with a 72:32 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on E. Haaland (26 goals), P. Foden (7 goals), J. Doku (5 goals), with creative support from R. Cherki (11 assists), E. Haaland (8 assists), J. Doku (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split of 13 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with A. Khusanov, J. Gvardiol, Rodri unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Crystal Palace Analysis

Crystal Palace approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 44 points from 35 matches. Their record of 11 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 38:44, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jean-Philippe Mateta (11 goals), I. Sarr (8 goals), Daniel Muñoz (4 goals), with creative support from Adam Wharton (5 assists), M. Guehi (3 assists), Jefferson Lerma (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with E. Guessand, E. Nketiah, C. Doucoure unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Manchester City won 9 times, Crystal Palace won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:16 from Manchester City's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Manchester City 4-2-3-1 / Crystal Palace 3-4-3
Missing players: Manchester City 3, Crystal Palace 4
H2H summary: Manchester City wins 9, draws 4, Crystal Palace wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship