JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
22.05.2026 10:30
New National Stadium
Referee: F. Nakamura
Machida Zelvia
Match Timeline
Urawa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
10'
Erik
Machida Zelvia
🟨
45+2'
Yoichi Naganuma
Urawa
🔄
54'
Erik ↔ K. Sento
Machida Zelvia
🔄
54'
Na Sang-Ho ↔ Y. Soma
Machida Zelvia
🔄
62'
H. Komori ↔ Y. Matsuo
Urawa
🔄
72'
Matheus Savio ↔ A. Onaiwu
Urawa
🔄
72'
T. Kaneko ↔ J. Hayakawa
Urawa
🔄
72'
S. Nakajima ↔ R. Hidano
Urawa
🔄
83'
N. Lavi ↔ R. Shirasaki
Machida Zelvia
🔄
83'
T. Yengi ↔ S. Fujio
Machida Zelvia
🔄
83'
S. Gustafson ↔ K. Shibato
Urawa

Machida Zelvia vs Urawa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 49.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 12.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
49.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
12.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Machida Zelvia Win 49.6%
Draw 14.3%
Urawa Win 36.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Machida Zelvia1.2
Urawa1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
WWDLW
24 GF / 22 GA
Urawa Urawa
WLDWL
29 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1
10
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
7
3.65
Shots on Goal
4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 18 matches
Urawa Urawa 19 matches
Machida Zelvia Statistic Urawa
7 Wins 9
8 Draws 4
3 Losses 6
24 Goals For 29
22 Goals Against 19
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 1
10 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 3
3.65 Shots On Goal 4.29
11.41 Total Shots 13.82
4.12 Corners 5.47
44.4% Ball Possession 52.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Machida Zelvia expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Urawa in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Urawa having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Urawa. Urawa look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Machida Zelvia Analysis

Machida Zelvia come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 34 points after 17 matches. They have recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a 27:22 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Erik (6 goals), Y. Soma (4 goals), Na Sang-Ho (3 goals), with creative support from Y. Soma (2 assists), Na Sang-Ho (2 assists), H. Shimoda (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Urawa Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 25 points from 17 games, Urawa bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a 25:21 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on R. Hidano (4 goals), H. Komori (3 goals), R. Watanabe (3 goals), with creative support from Matheus Sávio (5 assists), J. Hayakawa (3 assists), I. Kiese (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Machida Zelvia won 4 times, Urawa won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:14 from Machida Zelvia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.8%)
Predicted formations: Machida Zelvia 3-4-2-1 / Urawa 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Machida Zelvia wins 4, draws 2, Urawa wins 2

Standings

East
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 15 0 3 31:11 20 45
?
2 18 13 0 5 32:18 14 37
?
3 18 13 0 5 28:22 6 37
?
4 18 10 0 8 26:28 -2 28
?
5 18 10 0 8 22:26 -4 28
?
6
Urawa Away
18 7 0 11 25:22 3 25
?
7 18 6 0 12 28:31 -3 20
?
8 18 7 0 11 22:24 -2 20
?
9 18 6 0 12 23:39 -16 18
?
10 18 3 0 15 18:34 -16 12
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)