ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
02.05.2026 14:00
Brisbane Road
Referee: P. Howard
Leyton Orient
Match Timeline
Burton Albion
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
W. Forrester
Leyton Orient
⚽
34'
F. Tavares
Burton Albion
🔄
46'
S. Clare ↔ I. El Mizouni
Leyton Orient
⚽
52'
D. Ballard · Assist: M. Craig
Leyton Orient
🟨
54'
James Morris
Leyton Orient
🟨
55'
George Evans
Burton Albion
⚽
58'
A. Hartridge · Assist: J. Beesley
Burton Albion
🔄
59'
J. Simpson ↔ D. Happe
Leyton Orient
🔄
63'
F. Tavares ↔ S. Krubally
Burton Albion
🔄
68'
A. Abdulai ↔ T. Bakinson
Leyton Orient
🔄
68'
M. Craig ↔ T. James
Leyton Orient
🔄
78'
A. Connolly ↔ S. Perkins
Leyton Orient
🔄
82'
J. Moon ↔ T. Vancooten
Burton Albion
🔄
82'
J. J. McKiernan ↔ T. Sibbick
Burton Albion
🔄
90'
J. Beesley ↔ F. Delap
Burton Albion

Leyton Orient vs Burton Albion Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74.4%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
50%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Leyton Orient Win 37.2%
Draw 25.6%
Burton Albion Win 37.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leyton Orient1.23
Burton Albion1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leyton Orient Leyton Orient
WWDLW
58 GF / 73 GA
Burton Albion Burton Albion
WLDWL
62 GF / 60 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
26
BTTS Yes
22
28
Over 2.5
25
3.62
Shots on Goal
3.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 47 matches
Burton Albion Burton Albion 49 matches
Leyton Orient Statistic Burton Albion
15 Wins 16
9 Draws 14
23 Losses 19
58 Goals For 62
73 Goals Against 60
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
26 BTTS Yes 22
35 Over 1.5 34
28 Over 2.5 25
15 Over 3.5 12
11 Clean Sheets 14
14 Failed To Score 17
3.62 Shots On Goal 3.55
11.15 Total Shots 11.24
4.62 Corners 5.24
52.9% Ball Possession 45.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Burton Albion. Leyton Orient have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Leyton Orient expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Burton Albion in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Burton Albion having the stronger overall control.

Leyton Orient Analysis

Leyton Orient approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 51 points from 45 matches. The overall return of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 22 defeats with a 57:69 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Ballard (22 goals), Aaron Connolly (8 goals), Idris El Mizouni (5 goals), with creative support from O. O'Neill (8 assists), D. Ballard (4 assists), Aaron Connolly (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Burton Albion Analysis

Burton Albion approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 53 points from 45 matches. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 14 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 48:58 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Beesley (13 goals), T. Shade (9 goals), C. Webster (6 goals), with creative support from K. Lofthouse (7 assists), J. Beesley (6 assists), George Evans (4 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Leyton Orient won 1 times, Burton Albion won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:6 from Leyton Orient's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.4%)
Predicted formations: Leyton Orient 4-2-3-1 / Burton Albion 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Leyton Orient wins 1, draws 3, Burton Albion wins 2

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two