SPAIN › LA LIGA
08.05.2026 19:00
Estadio Ciudad de Valencia
Referee: J. Munuera
Levante
Match Timeline
Osasuna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
J. Toljan
Osasuna
⚽
11'
A. Budimir · Assist: A. Bretones
Osasuna
⚽
35'
V. Garcia · Assist: P. Martinez
Levante
⚽
37'
V. Garcia · Assist: O. Rey
Levante
🟨
41'
Víctor García
Levante
🟥
45'
Sergio Herrera
Osasuna
🔄
45+2'
A. Oroz ↔ A. Fernandez
Osasuna
🔄
46'
K. Tunde ↔ R. Brugue
Levante
🔄
62'
I. Munoz ↔ L. Torro
Osasuna
🔄
62'
A. Budimir ↔ R. Garcia
Osasuna
🔄
66'
V. Garcia ↔ J. Morales
Levante
🟨
74'
Matias Moreno
Levante
🔄
76'
Dela ↔ A. Matturro
Levante
🔄
76'
P. Martinez ↔ K. Etta Eyong
Levante
🔄
82'
R. Garcia ↔ I. Benito
Osasuna
🔄
83'
R. Moro ↔ A. Osambela
Osasuna
🔄
88'
M. Sanchez ↔ T. Abed
Levante
⚽
90'
K. Etta Eyong · Assist: A. Matturro
Levante

Levante vs Osasuna Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 31.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 40.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.3%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
31.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
40.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Levante Win 71.3%
Draw 0%
Osasuna Win 28.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Levante1.21
Osasuna1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Levante Levante
WWDLW
43 GF / 59 GA
Osasuna Osasuna
WLDWL
56 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.16
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
17
BTTS Yes
21
15
Over 2.5
20
3.51
Shots on Goal
4.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Levante Levante 37 matches
Osasuna Osasuna 38 matches
Levante Statistic Osasuna
10 Wins 14
9 Draws 10
18 Losses 14
43 Goals For 56
59 Goals Against 49
1.16 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
17 BTTS Yes 21
30 Over 1.5 27
15 Over 2.5 20
10 Over 3.5 13
9 Clean Sheets 8
13 Failed To Score 11
3.51 Shots On Goal 4.14
11.51 Total Shots 11.89
3.86 Corners 3.76
41.7% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Levante appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Osasuna. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Osasuna. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Osasuna carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 42 points while Levante sit 19 on 33, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Levante expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Osasuna in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Osasuna having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Levante Analysis

With 33 points from 34 games and a place of 19, Levante still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 17 defeats with a 38:55 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on C. Espi (9 goals), I. Romero (7 goals), Adrián de la Fuente (3 goals), with creative support from J. A. Olasagasti (3 assists), J. Toljan (3 assists), Pablo Martínez (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with C. Alvarez, U. Elgezabal, K. Tunde, K. Arriaga unavailable.

Osasuna Analysis

From their first 34 matches, Osasuna have collected 42 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 14 losses with goals at 40:42 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Budimir (16 goals), R. Garcia (7 goals), Victor Muñoz (5 goals), with creative support from R. Garcia (5 assists), J. Moncayola (4 assists), Victor Muñoz (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 11 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with V. Munoz unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Levante won 4 times, Osasuna won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:22 from Levante's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Levante 4-1-4-1 / Osasuna 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Levante 6, Osasuna 1
H2H summary: Levante wins 4, draws 3, Osasuna wins 8

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2