Lens vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
90.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
83.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Lens
Paris Saint Germain
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lens
37 matches
Paris Saint Germain
51 matches
| Lens | Statistic | Paris Saint Germain |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wins | 34 |
| 5 | Draws | 9 |
| 7 | Losses | 8 |
| 78 | Goals For | 121 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 2.11 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.37 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.02 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 41 |
| 26 | Over 2.5 | 33 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 20 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 23 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.78 | Shots On Goal | 6.96 |
| 16.49 | Total Shots | 18.27 |
| 6.32 | Corners | 6.29 |
| 52.9% | Ball Possession | 67.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Lens expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Paris Saint Germain in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Paris Saint Germain having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Paris Saint Germain.
Lens arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 67 points after 32 matches. Their overall return of 21 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 62:33 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Odsonne Édouard (12 goals), F. Thauvin (10 goals), W. Said (10 goals), with creative support from Adrien Thomasson (9 assists), Matthieu Udol (7 assists), F. Thauvin (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 14 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with J. Gradit, R. Gurtner, S. Abdulhamid unavailable.
Paris Saint Germain approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 73 points after 32 outings. They have recorded 23 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, with a 71:27 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on B. Barcola (10 goals), O. Dembele (10 goals), D. Doue (7 goals), with creative support from Vitinha (7 assists), O. Dembele (6 assists), N. Mendes (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with A. Hakimi, Q. Ndjantou, L. Chevalier unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lens won 3 times, Paris Saint Germain won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:25 from Lens's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
Away
|
34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
| 2 |
Lens
Home
|
34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|