ITALY › SERIE A
15.03.2026 19:45
Stadio Olimpico
Referee: M. Guida
Lazio
Match Timeline
AC Milan
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
26'
G. Isaksen · Assist: A. Marusic
Lazio
🟨
55'
Pervis Estupiñán
AC Milan
🔄
57'
P. Estupinan ↔ D. Bartesaghi
AC Milan
🔄
58'
F. Tomori ↔ Z. Athekame
AC Milan
🔄
66'
Y. Fofana ↔ C. Nkunku
AC Milan
🔄
66'
R. Leao ↔ N. Fullkrug
AC Milan
🔄
67'
G. Isaksen ↔ Pedro
Lazio
🔄
67'
D. Maldini ↔ B. Dia
Lazio
🟨
70'
Edoardo Motta
Lazio
🟨
81'
Nuno Tavares
Lazio
🔄
83'
M. Zaccagni ↔ M. Cancellieri
Lazio
🔄
84'
A. Saelemaekers ↔ S. Ricci
AC Milan
🟨
90+5'
Patric
Lazio
🟨
90+4'
Pedro
Lazio
🔄
90'
K. Taylor ↔ R. Belahyane
Lazio

Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Lazio Win 0%
Draw 0%
AC Milan Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lazio0.91
AC Milan1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lazio Lazio
WWDLW
32 GF / 31 GA
AC Milan AC Milan
WLDWL
49 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.03
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.72
9
BTTS Yes
14
9
Over 2.5
13
3.77
Shots on Goal
4.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lazio Lazio 31 matches
AC Milan AC Milan 32 matches
Lazio Statistic AC Milan
10 Wins 19
12 Draws 9
9 Losses 4
32 Goals For 49
31 Goals Against 23
1.03 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.72
9 BTTS Yes 14
19 Over 1.5 22
9 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 5
13 Clean Sheets 15
14 Failed To Score 4
3.77 Shots On Goal 4.69
10.9 Total Shots 14.06
3.74 Corners 4.88
50.4% Ball Possession 53.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Lazio won 5 times, AC Milan won 9 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:23 from Lazio's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Lazio 4-3-3 / AC Milan 3-5-2
H2H summary: Lazio wins 5, draws 1, AC Milan wins 9

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9
Lazio Home
38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B