03.05.2026 11:30
Achter de Kazerne
Referee: Simon Bourdeaud'hui, Belgium
KV Mechelen
Match Timeline
Gent
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
16'
B. Boersma · Assist: K. Mrabti
KV Mechelen
🔄
46'
M. Skoras ↔ H. Goore
Gent
🔄
46'
M. Dean ↔ M. Sonko
Gent
🔄
46'
W. Kanga ↔ I. Cisse
Gent
🟨
53'
Mathis Servais
KV Mechelen
🔄
56'
K. Mrabti ↔ D. Salifou
KV Mechelen
🟨
61'
Abdelkahar Kadri
Gent
🔄
70'
A. Kadri ↔ A. Omgba
Gent
🟨
79'
Leonardo Lopes
Gent
🔄
80'
B. Antonio ↔ M. Decoene
KV Mechelen
🔄
83'
D. Hashioka ↔ Hong Hyun-Seok
Gent
🔄
89'
M. Servais ↔ M. Kireev
KV Mechelen
🔄
89'
T. Koudou ↔ G. Diouf
KV Mechelen
🟨
90+4'
Redouane Halhal
KV Mechelen
🟨
90+4'
Siebe Van Der Heyden
Gent

KV Mechelen vs Gent Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
35%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
KV Mechelen Win 32.9%
Draw 23.1%
Gent Win 44%
Expected Goals (xG)
KV Mechelen1.3
Gent1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen
WWDLW
43 GF / 51 GA
Gent Gent
WLDWL
51 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
23
BTTS Yes
20
15
Over 2.5
19
3.66
Shots on Goal
4.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

KV Mechelen KV Mechelen 35 matches
Gent Gent 35 matches
KV Mechelen Statistic Gent
12 Wins 13
10 Draws 9
13 Losses 13
43 Goals For 51
51 Goals Against 49
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
23 BTTS Yes 20
26 Over 1.5 29
15 Over 2.5 19
11 Over 3.5 13
8 Clean Sheets 9
5 Failed To Score 9
3.66 Shots On Goal 4.31
9.94 Total Shots 12.8
4.63 Corners 4.6
49.4% Ball Possession 49.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. KV Mechelen have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

KV Mechelen Analysis

With 45 points from 30 games and a place of 5, KV Mechelen still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 9 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 39:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. van Brederode (7 goals), L. Lauberbach (6 goals), K. Mrabti (5 goals), with creative support from P. Pflucke (8 assists), M. van Brederode (4 assists), Rob Schoofs (4 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Gent Analysis

Placed 4 with 45 points from 30 outings, Gent continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 49:43 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by W. Kanga (11 goals), M. Dean (7 goals), O. Gandelman (7 goals), with creative support from M. Skoras (7 assists), A. Kadri (5 assists), W. Kanga (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, KV Mechelen won 2 times, Gent won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:28 from KV Mechelen's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.9%)
Predicted formations: KV Mechelen 3-4-1-2 / Gent 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: KV Mechelen wins 2, draws 4, Gent wins 9

Standings

Pro League , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 40 28 4 8 91:45 46 57
W D W W W
2 40 25 11 4 66:27 39 53
W D L W L
3 40 22 5 13 61:46 15 43
W L D L W
4 40 15 10 15 59:62 -3 33
L W D D L
5
Gent Away
40 13 12 15 53:57 -4 29
W L D D D
6 40 13 12 15 48:61 -13 29
L D D L W
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs