Kasımpaşa vs Kocaelispor Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
75.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
78.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Kasımpaşa
Kocaelispor
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Kasımpaşa
31 matches
Kocaelispor
31 matches
| Kasımpaşa | Statistic | Kocaelispor |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 9 |
| 10 | Draws | 9 |
| 14 | Losses | 13 |
| 29 | Goals For | 25 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 0.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.81 |
| 1.45 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 2.65 | Shots On Goal | 3.03 |
| 9.58 | Total Shots | 10.42 |
| 4.23 | Corners | 4.19 |
| 44.6% | Ball Possession | 49.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Kasımpaşa expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Kocaelispor in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kocaelispor having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Kocaelispor. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
So far, Kasımpaşa have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 31 points from 31 matches. The record of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 29:45 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Benedyczak (6 goals), P. Gueye (5 goals), Cláudio Winck (3 goals), with creative support from M. Ben Ouanes (5 assists), İrfan Can Kahveci (3 assists), F. Diabate (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Kocaelispor have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 36 points from 31 matches. The record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 25:35 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through B. Petkovic (7 goals), Serdar Dursun (6 goals), Tayfur Bingöl (5 goals), with creative support from D. Churlinov (3 assists), Tayfur Bingöl (2 assists), H. Keita (2 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Kasımpaşa won 3 times, Kocaelispor won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:4 from Kasımpaşa's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77:30 | 47 | 77 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 77:37 | 40 | 74 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 61:39 | 22 | 69 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59:40 | 19 | 60 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58:35 | 23 | 57 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42:32 | 10 | 55 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 46:45 | 1 | 51 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46:52 | -6 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 40 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
Kocaelispor
Away
|
34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 26:38 | -12 | 37 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
| 11 | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 37 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43:58 | -15 | 37 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 |
Kasımpaşa
Home
|
34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:49 | -16 | 35 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 36:47 | -11 | 34 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:48 | -15 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 33:55 | -22 | 32 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 27:62 | -35 | 30 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:54 | -23 | 30 |
W
W
W
D
L
|