ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
02.05.2026 14:00
Exercise Stadium
Referee: T. Parsons
Harrogate Town
Match Timeline
Barnet
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
C. Stead
Barnet
🟨
13'
Tobias Brenan
Harrogate Town
🟨
21'
Shawn McCoulsky
Harrogate Town
29'
B. Morris
Harrogate Town
🟨
45'
Nikola Tavares
Barnet
🟨
46'
Danny Collinge
Barnet
🔄
46'
N. Tavares ↔ K. Smith
Barnet
🔄
64'
D. Collinge ↔ J. Kizzi
Barnet
🔄
65'
T. Brenan ↔ G. Thomson
Harrogate Town
🔄
65'
A. Hartigan ↔ N. Ofoborh
Barnet
🔄
68'
R. Glover ↔ D. Jaiyesimi
Barnet
🔄
73'
T. Hill ↔ S. Duke-McKenna
Harrogate Town
🔄
81'
I. Kanu ↔ P. Chinedu
Barnet
82'
P. Chinedu · Assist: C. Stead
Barnet

Harrogate Town vs Barnet Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 84.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
84.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Harrogate Town Win 15.8%
Draw 0%
Barnet Win 84.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Harrogate Town0.99
Barnet1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Harrogate Town Harrogate Town
WWDLW
40 GF / 69 GA
Barnet Barnet
WLDWL
69 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
0.87
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
20
BTTS Yes
26
17
Over 2.5
22
3.33
Shots on Goal
4.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Harrogate Town Harrogate Town 46 matches
Barnet Barnet 46 matches
Harrogate Town Statistic Barnet
10 Wins 20
9 Draws 13
27 Losses 13
40 Goals For 69
69 Goals Against 54
0.87 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
20 BTTS Yes 26
32 Over 1.5 35
17 Over 2.5 22
9 Over 3.5 14
9 Clean Sheets 15
18 Failed To Score 9
3.33 Shots On Goal 4.57
11.22 Total Shots 14.02
4.4 Corners 6.74
47.3% Ball Possession 54.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Barnet's more proactive style and Harrogate Town's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Barnet. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Barnet carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 73 points while Harrogate Town sit 23 on 39, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Barnet look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Harrogate Town expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Barnet in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Barnet having the stronger overall control.

Harrogate Town Analysis

Harrogate Town sit 23 with 39 points after 45 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 9 draws, and 26 defeats, and the 38:66 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Muldoon (5 goals), S. Duke-McKenna (5 goals), E. Taylor (4 goals), with creative support from R. Smith (5 assists), Jack Evans (4 assists), Shawn McCoulsky (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 15 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Barnet Analysis

Barnet sit 9 with 73 points after 45 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 20 wins, 13 draws, and 12 losses, while the 68:52 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Stead (12 goals), Mark Shelton (8 goals), Adam Senior (7 goals), with creative support from Mark Shelton (7 assists), Ryan Glover (7 assists), I. Kanu (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Harrogate Town won 2 times, Barnet won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Harrogate Town's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Harrogate Town 4-2-3-1 / Barnet 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Harrogate Town wins 2, draws 1, Barnet wins 2

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11 46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation