29.05.2026 17:00
El-Gazel Stadium
Referee: A. Nagy
Ghazl El Mehalla
Match Timeline
Haras El Hodood
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
M. Ashraf · Assist: M. Salah
Ghazl El Mehalla
⚽
14'
M. Ashraf · Assist: M. Salah
Ghazl El Mehalla
⚽
41'
A. Gamal · Assist: Mahmoud Sayed Okaa
Haras El Hodood
🔄
46'
Armoosha ↔ K. Saidi
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
46'
Z. Tarek ↔ M. El Negely
Haras El Hodood
VAR
51'
Ahmed Gamal
Ghazl El Mehalla
⚽
53'
A. Shousha
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
62'
M. Oufa ↔ Y. Zakaria
Ghazl El Mehalla
⚽
63'
A. Nayel
Haras El Hodood
🔄
67'
M. Ashraf ↔ A. Yasser
Ghazl El Mehalla
🟨
71'
Mohamed Adham El Negely
Haras El Hodood
🔄
84'
M. Abdelsalam ↔ A. Etman
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
85'
M. Awadalla Ahmed ↔ M. El Moghzi
Ghazl El Mehalla
🟥
87'
Islam Abou-Salima
Haras El Hodood
⚽
89'
Y. Zakaria
Ghazl El Mehalla
🔄
90+1'
M. Mostafa ↔ M. Raafat
Haras El Hodood
🔄
90+2'
A. Gamal ↔ K. Kouadja
Haras El Hodood

Ghazl El Mehalla vs Haras El Hodood Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
55.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ghazl El Mehalla Win 71.6%
Draw 0%
Haras El Hodood Win 28.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ghazl El Mehalla0.98
Haras El Hodood0.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla
WWDLW
23 GF / 24 GA
Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood
WLDWL
24 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
0.72
Average Goals Scored
0.75
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
12
BTTS Yes
14
7
Over 2.5
13
2.22
Shots on Goal
2.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 32 matches
Haras El Hodood Haras El Hodood 32 matches
Ghazl El Mehalla Statistic Haras El Hodood
5 Wins 5
20 Draws 11
7 Losses 16
23 Goals For 24
24 Goals Against 44
0.72 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.38
12 BTTS Yes 14
14 Over 1.5 19
7 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 7
18 Clean Sheets 10
16 Failed To Score 14
2.22 Shots On Goal 2.88
8.59 Total Shots 10.09
3.44 Corners 4.34
46.8% Ball Possession 45.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Ghazl El Mehalla's more proactive style and Haras El Hodood's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ghazl El Mehalla arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 16 with 34 points compared to Haras El Hodood in 19 on 26, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ghazl El Mehalla expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Haras El Hodood in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Haras El Hodood having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Haras El Hodood.

Ghazl El Mehalla Analysis

Ghazl El Mehalla approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 34 points from 11 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, together with goals at 11:9, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Shousha (6 goals), M. Salah (4 goals), Abdelrahim Amoory (2 goals), with creative support from K. Saidi (3 assists), A. Etman (2 assists), R. Arfaoui (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Haras El Hodood Analysis

With 26 points from 11 games and a place of 19, Haras El Hodood still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 9:12, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Hamdi (6 goals), M. Ashraf (4 goals), Ibrahim Abdel Hakeem (3 goals), with creative support from F. El Henawy (4 assists), A. El Sheikh (3 assists), M. Hamdi (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Ghazl El Mehalla won 1 times, Haras El Hodood won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:19 from Ghazl El Mehalla's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Ghazl El Mehalla 4-2-3-1 / Haras El Hodood 4-4-2
H2H summary: Ghazl El Mehalla wins 1, draws 4, Haras El Hodood wins 7

Standings

Premier League: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 4 3 32:13 19 43
L W W W W
2 20 13 4 3 33:15 18 43
W W L W W
3 20 11 7 2 33:19 14 40
L W D W W
4 20 11 5 4 29:16 13 38
D D D L W
5 20 8 8 4 29:20 9 32
L W L W D
6 20 8 7 5 21:13 8 31
W W L L L
7 20 7 9 4 20:16 4 30
W W W L D
8 20 7 8 5 23:20 3 29
D D W D L
9 20 7 8 5 21:16 5 29
W D L D D
10 20 6 10 4 16:15 1 28
W D W D L
11 20 5 11 4 18:14 4 26
L D L W D
12 20 5 10 5 21:23 -2 25
L D W D D
13 20 5 8 7 18:24 -6 23
L L D L D
14 20 5 7 8 14:24 -10 22
W W W D L
15 20 6 2 12 15:24 -9 20
L W L W W
16 20 2 13 5 12:15 -3 19
D L L D L
17 20 3 9 8 13:21 -8 18
L D D W L
18 20 4 5 11 15:29 -14 17
L L W L D
19 20 4 4 12 22:37 -15 16
L W D D L
20 20 2 9 9 8:22 -14 15
D L L D D
21 20 3 2 15 11:28 -17 11
L L D L L
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Premier League (Relegation Group)