NORWAY › ELITESERIEN
29.05.2026 17:00
Fredrikstad Stadion
Referee: Marius Grotta, Norway
Fredrikstad
Match Timeline
Start
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
J. Cornelius · Assist: H. Lorentzen
Start
🟨
50'
Steve Mvoué
Start
🔄
56'
S. Leach ↔ M. Nilsson
Fredrikstad
🔄
56'
S. Laghzaoui ↔ B. Faraas
Fredrikstad
🔄
59'
S. Mvoue ↔ L. Gausdal
Start
⚽
65'
D. Eid
Fredrikstad
🔄
70'
O. Jebali ↔ O. Toure
Start
🔄
70'
H. Lorentzen ↔ A. F. Gurendal
Start
🔄
72'
J. Cornelius ↔ J. Ampofo
Start
⚽
75'
O. Ohlenschlaeger · Assist: D. Eid
Fredrikstad
🟨
83'
Altin Ujkani
Start
🔄
85'
S. Sorlokk ↔ F. Ghebreyohannes
Fredrikstad
🔄
89'
H. Skogvold ↔ J. Norbye
Fredrikstad
🟨
90+5'
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem
Fredrikstad
🟨
90+3'
Altin Ujkani
Start
🟥
90+3'
Altin Ujkani
Start

Fredrikstad vs Start Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 9.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 12.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
100%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
9.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
12.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
70%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Fredrikstad Win 100%
Draw 0%
Start Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Fredrikstad1.83
Start1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
WWDLW
29 GF / 27 GA
Start Start
WLDWL
23 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
2
13
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
9
4
Shots on Goal
3.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 17 matches
Start Start 19 matches
Fredrikstad Statistic Start
8 Wins 4
4 Draws 5
5 Losses 10
29 Goals For 23
27 Goals Against 38
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 2
13 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 4
4 Shots On Goal 3.55
11.6 Total Shots 11
4.5 Corners 3.45
47% Ball Possession 40.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fredrikstad expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Start in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Start having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Fredrikstad arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 10 points compared to Start in 16 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Start. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Fredrikstad Analysis

Fredrikstad sit 11 with 10 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 12:18 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on R. R. Shein (2 goals), S. Hestnes (2 goals), D. Eid (1 goals), with creative support from R. R. Shein (1 assists), S. Hestnes (1 assists), D. Eid (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Start Analysis

Start approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 4 points from 10 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 10:26, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through J. Cornelius (2 goals), O. Toure (2 goals), E. Reitan (1 goals), with creative support from Erlend Segberg (2 assists), T. Strannegard (2 assists), J. Cornelius (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Fredrikstad won 6 times, Start won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:12 from Fredrikstad's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1 (100%)
Predicted formations: Fredrikstad 3-5-2 / Start 5-3-2
Missing players: Fredrikstad 4, Start 5
H2H summary: Fredrikstad wins 6, draws 3, Start wins 1

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 16 2 3 54:20 34 50
W W D W L
2 21 16 2 3 53:19 34 50
L W W W W
3 21 11 5 5 40:29 11 38
W L L D L
4 21 11 3 7 44:32 12 36
L W W W W
5 21 10 3 8 39:30 9 33
W W W L W
6 21 10 2 9 28:29 -1 32
L W W L D
7 21 9 2 10 39:32 7 29
W L L D W
8 21 8 4 9 25:32 -7 28
D D L W W
9 21 6 7 8 24:29 -5 25
L D D D L
10 21 7 4 10 25:35 -10 25
W W L L D
11 21 6 5 10 21:27 -6 23
W L D D W
12 21 6 5 10 34:43 -9 23
D L D L D
13 21 6 5 10 29:44 -15 23
L L L D L
14 21 4 9 8 33:46 -13 21
W L W L D
15 21 5 4 12 21:40 -19 19
L L W D L
16
Start Away
21 4 4 13 22:44 -22 16
L W L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen