PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
15.12.2025 20:45
Estádio Do Dragão
Referee: Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca, Portugal
FC Porto
Match Timeline
Estrela
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
17'
Samu
FC Porto
🟨
48'
Bernardo Schappo
Estrela
🟨
53'
Jan Bednarek
FC Porto
⚽
60'
A. Marcus · Assist: S. Cabral
Estrela
🔄
61'
Kikas ↔ Jovane
Estrela
🔄
61'
I. Stoica ↔ J. Encada
Estrela
⚽
63'
F. Moura
FC Porto
🔄
64'
A. Varela ↔ P. Rosario
FC Porto
🟨
65'
Abraham Marcus
Estrela
🟨
65'
Renan Ribeiro
Estrela
🔄
65'
Pepê ↔ William Gomes
FC Porto
⚽
73'
Samu
FC Porto
🔄
75'
R. Mora ↔ G. Veiga
FC Porto
🔄
75'
A. Costa ↔ M. Fernandes
FC Porto
🔄
75'
A. Marcus ↔ Rodrigo Pinho
Estrela
🔄
76'
P. Moreira ↔ J. Gastao
Estrela
🔄
82'
Samu ↔ D. Gul
FC Porto
🔄
84'
S. Cabral ↔ J. Meireles
Estrela
🟨
86'
Jovane Cabral
Estrela
🟨
90+1'
Otavio
Estrela

FC Porto vs Estrela Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
FC Porto Win 0%
Draw 0%
Estrela Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
FC Porto1.72
Estrela0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
FC Porto FC Porto
WWDLW
36 GF / 8 GA
Estrela Estrela
WLDWL
16 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.23
0.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
6
BTTS Yes
6
10
Over 2.5
6
5.58
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

FC Porto FC Porto 19 matches
Estrela Estrela 13 matches
FC Porto Statistic Estrela
16 Wins 3
2 Draws 5
1 Losses 5
36 Goals For 16
8 Goals Against 19
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
0.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
6 BTTS Yes 6
14 Over 1.5 10
10 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 4
12 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 6
5.58 Shots On Goal 4
14.58 Total Shots 12.38
5.63 Corners 3.62
55.5% Ball Possession 50.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, FC Porto won 5 times, Estrela won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:7 from FC Porto's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

Predicted formations: FC Porto 4-3-3 / Estrela 3-4-3
H2H summary: FC Porto wins 5, draws 1, Estrela wins 1

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2