PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
02.05.2026 17:00
Estadio Municipal de Famalicao
Referee: G. Correia
Famalicao
Match Timeline
Benfica
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
11'
Franjo Ivanović
Benfica
⚽
12'
A. Schjelderup
Benfica
⚽
19'
R. Rios · Assist: A. Schjelderup
Benfica
🟥
55'
Nicolás Otamendi
Benfica
VAR
55'
Nicolás Otamendi
Benfica
🔄
57'
G. Prestianni ↔ E. Barrenechea
Benfica
⚽
67'
M. De Amorim · Assist: L. Realpe
Famalicao
🔄
72'
Gil Dias ↔ R. Beney
Famalicao
🔄
72'
S. Elisor ↔ U. Abubakar
Famalicao
🔄
72'
A. Schjelderup ↔ A. Bah
Benfica
🟨
74'
Gustavo Sá
Famalicao
⚽
78'
U. Abubakar · Assist: M. De Amorim
Famalicao
🟨
83'
Rodrigo Pinheiro
Famalicao
🔄
85'
F. Ivanovic ↔ Rafa Silva
Benfica
🟨
90+12'
Richard Ríos
Benfica
🟨
90+9'
António Silva
Benfica
🔄
90+3'
M. De Amorim ↔ P. Santos
Famalicao

Famalicao vs Benfica Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 63.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
63.7%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Famalicao Win 44.5%
Draw 2.5%
Benfica Win 53%
Expected Goals (xG)
Famalicao1.07
Benfica1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Famalicao Famalicao
WWDLW
39 GF / 27 GA
Benfica Benfica
WLDWL
83 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
1.84
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
11
BTTS Yes
20
12
Over 2.5
25
4.39
Shots on Goal
5.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Famalicao Famalicao 31 matches
Benfica Benfica 45 matches
Famalicao Statistic Benfica
14 Wins 28
9 Draws 10
8 Losses 7
39 Goals For 83
27 Goals Against 35
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 1.84
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
11 BTTS Yes 20
17 Over 1.5 36
12 Over 2.5 25
7 Over 3.5 10
15 Clean Sheets 20
8 Failed To Score 8
4.39 Shots On Goal 5.53
12.29 Total Shots 16.04
5.29 Corners 6.64
50.9% Ball Possession 55%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Benfica. Benfica look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Benfica carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 75 points while Famalicao sit 5 on 51, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Famalicao Analysis

Placed 5 with 51 points from 31 outings, Famalicao continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses, while the 39:27 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. De Haas (5 goals), Sorriso (5 goals), G. Sa (4 goals), with creative support from Gil Dias (7 assists), Sorriso (4 assists), Pedro Santos (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Benfica Analysis

Benfica come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 75 points after 31 matches. The return of 22 wins, 9 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 67:20, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through V. Pavlidis (21 goals), A. Schjelderup (6 goals), F. Ivanovic (6 goals), with creative support from L. Barreiro (5 assists), V. Pavlidis (4 assists), A. Schjelderup (4 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 11 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Famalicao won 2 times, Benfica won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:28 from Famalicao's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (97.5%)
Predicted formations: Famalicao 4-2-3-1 / Benfica 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Famalicao wins 2, draws 4, Benfica wins 9

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2