ENGLAND LEAGUE ONE
02.05.2026 14:00
St James Park
Referee: O. Yates
Exeter City
Match Timeline
Bradford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Edward James
Exeter City
27'
K. Jackson · Assist: G. Lapslie
Bradford
🟨
43'
Danny Andrew
Exeter City
🔄
46'
L. Oakes ↔ K. McDonald
Exeter City
🔄
46'
D. Andrew ↔ T. Tuterov
Exeter City
🟨
51'
Max Power
Bradford
🔄
60'
C. Mendes ↔ R. Rydel
Exeter City
🔄
68'
C. Cummins ↔ J. Magennis
Exeter City
🔄
68'
R. Cole ↔ J. Aitchison
Exeter City
🔄
73'
K. Jackson ↔ N. Powell
Bradford
79'
A. Sarcevic
Bradford
🔄
83'
J. Neufville ↔ M. Pennington
Bradford
🟨
86'
Ryan Rydel
Exeter City
🔄
89'
A. Sarcevic ↔ C. Kelly
Bradford
90'
J. Magennis · Assist: R. Rydel
Exeter City

Exeter City vs Bradford Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Exeter City Win 22.8%
Draw 15.8%
Bradford Win 61.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Exeter City1.17
Bradford1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Exeter City Exeter City
WWDLW
58 GF / 69 GA
Bradford Bradford
WLDWL
56 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
20
BTTS Yes
26
22
Over 2.5
23
3.26
Shots on Goal
4.02

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Exeter City Exeter City 48 matches
Bradford Bradford 46 matches
Exeter City Statistic Bradford
14 Wins 21
13 Draws 11
21 Losses 14
58 Goals For 56
69 Goals Against 51
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
20 BTTS Yes 26
32 Over 1.5 32
22 Over 2.5 23
13 Over 3.5 8
15 Clean Sheets 14
16 Failed To Score 9
3.26 Shots On Goal 4.02
10.02 Total Shots 12.8
4.57 Corners 5.53
49.3% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Bradford's more proactive style and Exeter City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Exeter City expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Bradford in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bradford having the stronger overall control. Bradford carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 74 points while Exeter City sit 21 on 49, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Bradford.

Exeter City Analysis

With 49 points from 45 games and a place of 21, Exeter City still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 12 wins, 13 draws, and 20 losses, together with goals at 51:59, reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their threat comes through J. Wareham (19 goals), R. Cole (7 goals), J. Magennis (6 goals), with creative support from I. Niskanen (13 assists), Jack Aitchison (4 assists), R. Cole (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Bradford Analysis

Placed 5 with 74 points from 45 outings, Bradford continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 21 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses, while the 56:50 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Sarcevic (10 goals), B. Pointon (10 goals), S. Humphrys (7 goals), with creative support from Josh Neufville (7 assists), Max Power (5 assists), A. Sarcevic (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses fits a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Exeter City won 5 times, Bradford won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:12 from Exeter City's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.45 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.3%)
Predicted formations: Exeter City 4-2-3-1 / Bradford 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Exeter City wins 5, draws 3, Bradford wins 3

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7 46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two