Excelsior
Match Timeline
Ajax
Excelsior vs Ajax Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Excelsior Win 0%
Draw 0%
Ajax Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Excelsior1.27
Ajax1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Excelsior
WWDLW
20 GF / 35 GA
Ajax
WLDWL
47 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
12
BTTS Yes
18
12
Over 2.5
18
3.85
Shots on Goal
5.75
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Excelsior
20 matches
Ajax
28 matches
| Excelsior | Statistic | Ajax |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 12 |
| 4 | Draws | 7 |
| 10 | Losses | 9 |
| 20 | Goals For | 47 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.68 |
| 1.75 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.68 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.85 | Shots On Goal | 5.75 |
| 11.55 | Total Shots | 14.29 |
| 4.1 | Corners | 5.21 |
| 44.8% | Ball Possession | 56.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Excelsior won 1 times, Ajax won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:44 from Excelsior's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Excelsior 4-1-4-1 / Ajax 4-3-3
H2H summary: Excelsior wins 1, draws 4, Ajax wins 10
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 56 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 26 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 24 | 59 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 19 | 58 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Ajax
Away
|
34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 21 | 56 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 13 | 53 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 7 | 52 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 4 | 51 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | -22 | 43 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | -14 | 39 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 38 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
Excelsior
Home
|
34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | -13 | 38 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | -6 | 37 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | -27 | 37 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | -20 | 32 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | -23 | 29 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | -50 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Eerste Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie