SPAIN › LA LIGA
23.05.2026 19:00
RCDE Stadium
Referee: J. Munuera
Espanyol
Match Timeline
Real Sociedad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Sergio Gómez
Real Sociedad
🟨
23'
Yangel Herrera
Real Sociedad
⚽
28'
O. Oskarsson · Assist: S. Gomez
Real Sociedad
🔄
46'
A. Roca ↔ P. Milla
Espanyol
🔄
46'
R. Terrats ↔ T. Dolan
Espanyol
🟨
64'
Unai Marrero
Real Sociedad
⚽
65'
R. Fernandez Jaen · Assist: P. Milla
Espanyol
🔄
67'
R. Fernandez Jaen ↔ K. Garcia
Espanyol
🔄
68'
S. Gomez ↔ A. Munoz
Real Sociedad
🔄
68'
J. Ochieng ↔ P. Marin
Real Sociedad
🔄
72'
Jofre ↔ L. Castell
Espanyol
🔄
77'
J. Aramburu ↔ A. Elustondo
Real Sociedad
🔄
77'
O. Oskarsson ↔ M. Oyarzabal
Real Sociedad
🔄
79'
R. Sanchez ↔ O. El Hilali
Espanyol
🟨
87'
Leandro Cabrera
Espanyol
🔄
90'
C. Soler ↔ I. Ruperez
Real Sociedad

Espanyol vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 38%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
38%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Espanyol Win 38%
Draw 30.5%
Real Sociedad Win 31.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Espanyol1.27
Real Sociedad1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Espanyol Espanyol
WWDLW
44 GF / 56 GA
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
WLDWL
74 GF / 67 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.49
22
BTTS Yes
33
20
Over 2.5
27
3.9
Shots on Goal
4.62

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Espanyol Espanyol 39 matches
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 45 matches
Espanyol Statistic Real Sociedad
13 Wins 17
9 Draws 14
17 Losses 14
44 Goals For 74
56 Goals Against 67
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.49
22 BTTS Yes 33
29 Over 1.5 36
20 Over 2.5 27
9 Over 3.5 19
10 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 5
3.9 Shots On Goal 4.62
12.26 Total Shots 12.31
4.74 Corners 5.38
41.6% Ball Possession 49.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Real Sociedad. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Espanyol expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Real Sociedad in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Real Sociedad having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Espanyol Analysis

Espanyol sit 11 with 45 points after 37 league matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 9 draws, and 16 losses with goals at 42:54 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Garcia (8 goals), P. Milla (7 goals), C. Romero (6 goals), with creative support from Exposito (6 assists), T. Dolan (5 assists), C. Romero (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Sociedad Analysis

Real Sociedad sit 10 with 45 points after 37 league matches. The record of 11 wins, 12 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 58:60 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Oyarzabal (15 goals), G. Guedes (8 goals), O. Oskarsson (8 goals), with creative support from A. Barrenetxea (5 assists), Sergio Gómez (5 assists), M. Oyarzabal (4 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Espanyol won 3 times, Real Sociedad won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:24 from Espanyol's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (69.5%)
Predicted formations: Espanyol 4-4-2 / Real Sociedad 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Espanyol 3, Real Sociedad 4
H2H summary: Espanyol wins 3, draws 3, Real Sociedad wins 9

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2