BRAZIL SERIE B
02.05.2026 21:30
Arena Pantanal
Referee: J. Pinheiro
Cuiaba
Match Timeline
Criciuma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
21'
Joao Basso · Assist: Pepe
Cuiaba
🔄
46'
Nicolas ↔ Waguininho
Criciuma
🔄
46'
Luciano Castan ↔ Willean Lepo
Criciuma
🔄
46'
Thiaguinho ↔ Jhonata Robert
Criciuma
🔄
62'
Eliel ↔ Kauan Cristtyan
Cuiaba
🔄
64'
Romarinho ↔ R. Otero
Criciuma
🔄
69'
Eric Melo ↔ Luis Soares
Cuiaba
🔄
77'
Marcinho ↔ Caue Santos
Criciuma
🔄
81'
Pepe ↔ Weverson
Cuiaba
🔄
81'
Raylan ↔ Nino Paraiba
Cuiaba
🔄
81'
Rodrigo Rodrigues ↔ Vinicius Peixoto
Cuiaba
🟨
85'
David
Cuiaba
90'
Caue Santos
Criciuma

Cuiaba vs Criciuma Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cuiaba Win 13%
Draw 23.6%
Criciuma Win 63.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cuiaba0.7
Criciuma1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WWDLW
3 GF / 3 GA
Criciuma Criciuma
WLDWL
8 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
3
0
Over 2.5
2
3.5
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cuiaba Cuiaba 6 matches
Criciuma Criciuma 6 matches
Cuiaba Statistic Criciuma
1 Wins 3
4 Draws 1
1 Losses 2
3 Goals For 8
3 Goals Against 6
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 3
0 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 1
3.5 Shots On Goal 3.67
12 Total Shots 13.17
2 Corners 6.17
46.7% Ball Possession 50.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Criciuma's more proactive style and Cuiaba's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cuiaba expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Criciuma in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Criciuma having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Criciuma. Criciuma carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 10 points while Cuiaba sit 17 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Cuiaba Analysis

Cuiaba approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 7 points from 6 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, together with goals at 3:3, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Hernandes (2 goals), Eric (1 goals), with creative support from Hernandes (1 assists), Eliel (1 assists), Weverson (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Criciuma Analysis

Placed 4 with 10 points from 6 outings, Criciuma continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 8:6 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Bruno Alves (3 goals), Waguininho (2 goals), Fellipe Mateus (1 goals), with creative support from Romarinho (2 assists), Nicolas (1 assists), Marcelo Hermes (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Cuiaba won 4 times, Criciuma won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:5 from Cuiaba's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (87%)
Predicted formations: Cuiaba 3-4-1-2 / Criciuma 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Cuiaba wins 4, draws 2, Criciuma wins 1

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 29 13 8 8 41:36 5 47
W D W W D
6 29 13 8 8 28:27 1 47
L L L W L
7 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
8 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 10 13 6 30:22 8 43
W D W L W
11 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
12 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
13 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
14 29 10 8 11 35:36 -1 38
L D L W W
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
Promotion
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