SPAIN › LA LIGA
18.01.2026 17:30
Estadio Abanca Balaídos
Referee: M. Busquets
Celta Vigo
Match Timeline
Rayo Vallecano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Iago Aspas
Celta Vigo
⚽
40'
S. Carreira · Assist: H. Alvarez
Celta Vigo
🟨
44'
Hugo Álvarez
Celta Vigo
⚽
54'
B. Zaragoza
Celta Vigo
🟨
58'
Hugo Sotelo
Celta Vigo
🟨
58'
Gerard Gumbau
Rayo Vallecano
🟨
59'
Carlos Martín
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
61'
G. Gumbau ↔ R. Nteka
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
61'
Pacha ↔ Alemao
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
62'
H. Alvarez ↔ W. Swedberg
Celta Vigo
🔄
63'
H. Sotelo ↔ M. Roman
Celta Vigo
VAR
65'
Nobel Mendy
Rayo Vallecano
🟨
66'
Óscar Mingueza
Celta Vigo
🟨
66'
Isi Palazón
Rayo Vallecano
🟥
66'
Nobel Mendy
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
68'
C. Martin ↔ J. Vertrouwd
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
71'
J. Rodriguez ↔ M. Fernandez
Celta Vigo
🔄
71'
O. Mingueza ↔ J. Rueda
Celta Vigo
🔄
78'
J. de Frutos ↔ O. Trejo
Rayo Vallecano
🔄
79'
I. Palazon ↔ F. Perez
Rayo Vallecano
⚽
79'
J. Rueda
Celta Vigo
🔄
83'
C. Starfelt ↔ H. Burcio
Celta Vigo

Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Celta Vigo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Rayo Vallecano Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Celta Vigo1.32
Rayo Vallecano1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
WWDLW
41 GF / 31 GA
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
WLDWL
45 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
18
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
15
3.96
Shots on Goal
4.58

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 28 matches
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 31 matches
Celta Vigo Statistic Rayo Vallecano
11 Wins 14
10 Draws 8
7 Losses 9
41 Goals For 45
31 Goals Against 34
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
18 BTTS Yes 14
23 Over 1.5 22
12 Over 2.5 15
6 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 10
4 Failed To Score 10
3.96 Shots On Goal 4.58
11.14 Total Shots 14.29
4 Corners 6.48
49.1% Ball Possession 56.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Celta Vigo won 5 times, Rayo Vallecano won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:15 from Celta Vigo's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Celta Vigo 3-4-3 / Rayo Vallecano 4-3-3
H2H summary: Celta Vigo wins 5, draws 6, Rayo Vallecano wins 4

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 31 1 6 95:36 59 94
L W L W W
2 38 27 5 6 77:35 42 86
W W W L W
3 38 22 6 10 72:46 26 72
W L L D W
4 38 21 6 11 62:44 18 69
L W W L W
5 38 15 15 8 59:48 11 60
W L W D W
6 38 14 12 12 53:48 5 54
W D L W W
7 38 15 6 17 32:38 -6 51
W L W D L
8 38 12 14 12 41:44 -3 50
W W D D W
9 38 13 10 15 46:55 -9 49
W W D W L
10 38 11 13 14 59:61 -2 46
D L D D L
11 38 12 10 16 43:55 -12 46
D W W L L
12 38 13 6 19 43:58 -15 45
L D L L W
13 38 12 7 19 46:60 -14 43
L L W W W
14 38 11 10 17 44:56 -12 43
L W W D L
15 38 10 13 15 49:57 -8 43
D W L D L
16 38 11 9 18 47:61 -14 42
L W W W L
17 38 11 9 18 44:50 -6 42
L L L L L
18 38 11 9 18 47:57 -10 42
W L L D W
19 38 9 14 15 39:55 -16 41
D L D D L
20 38 6 11 21 26:60 -34 29
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2