PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
01.11.2025 18:00
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Referee: Helder Malheiro, Portugal
Casa Pia
Match Timeline
Estrela
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
27'
Kikas
Estrela
⚽
34'
Cassiano · Assist: K. Nsona
Casa Pia
⚽
36'
Kikas · Assist: A. Marcus
Estrela
⚽
45'
S. Cabral
Estrela
⚽
48'
I. Mohamed
Casa Pia
🟨
53'
Otavio
Estrela
🔄
55'
J. Meireles ↔ Jovane
Estrela
🔄
55'
Otavio ↔ G. Montoia
Estrela
🟨
61'
Patrick Sequeira
Casa Pia
⚽
65'
S. Cabral
Estrela
⚽
67'
P. Moreira · Assist: Kikas
Estrela
🔄
71'
Kikas ↔ Rodrigo Pinho
Estrela
🔄
73'
G. Larrazabal ↔ D. Rocha Livramento
Casa Pia
🔄
73'
Kaique Rocha ↔ X. Severina
Casa Pia
🟨
74'
Paulo Moreira
Estrela
🟨
75'
José Fonte
Casa Pia
🔄
78'
I. Mohamed ↔ Miguel Sousa
Casa Pia
🔄
79'
R. Nhaga ↔ S. Perez
Casa Pia
⚽
82'
S. Cabral · Assist: O. Ngom
Estrela
⚽
85'
J. Fonte · Assist: Miguel Sousa
Casa Pia
🔄
89'
A. Marcus ↔ Robinho
Estrela
🔄
89'
J. Encada ↔ A. Sola
Estrela
VAR
90+9'
Cassiano
Casa Pia
🟨
90+6'
Alex Sola
Estrela
🔄
90'
J. Fonte ↔ F. Benaissa-Yahia
Casa Pia

Casa Pia vs Estrela Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Casa Pia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Estrela Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Casa Pia0.98
Estrela1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WWDLW
8 GF / 17 GA
Estrela Estrela
WLDWL
7 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
0.78
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
3
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
3
3
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Casa Pia Casa Pia 9 matches
Estrela Estrela 9 matches
Casa Pia Statistic Estrela
2 Wins 1
2 Draws 4
5 Losses 4
8 Goals For 7
17 Goals Against 10
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
3 BTTS Yes 3
9 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 5
3 Shots On Goal 3.33
9.56 Total Shots 11.78
4 Corners 4.11
44.9% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Casa Pia won 4 times, Estrela won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:16 from Casa Pia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Casa Pia 3-4-3 / Estrela 3-4-3
H2H summary: Casa Pia wins 4, draws 1, Estrela wins 5

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2