PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA
14.02.2026 15:30
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Referee: D. Rosa
Casa Pia
Match Timeline
Arouca
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
6'
Javi Sánchez
Arouca
🟨
10'
David Sousa
Casa Pia
⚽
11'
I. Barbero · Assist: Tiago Esgaio
Arouca
⚽
21'
R. Brito · Assist: A. Conte
Casa Pia
⚽
25'
Cassiano · Assist: J. Livolant
Casa Pia
🟨
37'
Gaizka Larrazabal
Casa Pia
⚽
37'
A. Conte
Arouca
VAR
43'
João Goulart
Casa Pia
⚽
45'
Cassiano
Casa Pia
🔄
53'
K. Osundina ↔ J. Marques
Casa Pia
🟨
56'
Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
Casa Pia
🔄
67'
I. Barbero ↔ D. Nandin
Arouca
🔄
67'
A. Trezza ↔ B. Mansilla
Arouca
🟨
73'
Cassiano
Casa Pia
🟨
79'
Ignacio de Arruabarrena
Arouca
🟨
83'
Joao Marques
Casa Pia
VAR
83'
Joao Marques
Casa Pia
🔄
84'
Cassiano ↔ D. Livramento
Casa Pia
🔄
84'
R. Brito ↔ I. Mohamed
Casa Pia
🔄
84'
Tiago Esgaio ↔ D. Monteiro
Arouca
🔄
84'
E. van Ee ↔ P. Gozalbez
Arouca
🔄
84'
B. Kuipers ↔ Puche
Arouca
🔄
90+3'
J. Livolant ↔ C. Mendes
Casa Pia

Casa Pia vs Arouca Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Casa Pia Win 0%
Draw 0%
Arouca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Casa Pia1.51
Arouca1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Casa Pia Casa Pia
WWDLW
22 GF / 39 GA
Arouca Arouca
WLDWL
26 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.86
Average Goals Conceded
2.19
10
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
14
2.9
Shots on Goal
3.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Casa Pia Casa Pia 21 matches
Arouca Arouca 21 matches
Casa Pia Statistic Arouca
4 Wins 6
7 Draws 5
10 Losses 10
22 Goals For 26
39 Goals Against 46
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.86 Avg Goals Conceded 2.19
10 BTTS Yes 11
18 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 11
4 Clean Sheets 4
9 Failed To Score 7
2.9 Shots On Goal 3.38
8.48 Total Shots 10.38
3.62 Corners 3.86
44.1% Ball Possession 49.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Casa Pia won 5 times, Arouca won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:8 from Casa Pia's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Casa Pia 3-4-3 / Arouca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Casa Pia wins 5, draws 3, Arouca wins 2

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 4 2 66:18 48 88
W L W W W
2 34 25 7 2 89:24 65 82
W W W D D
3 34 23 11 0 74:25 49 80
W D D W W
4 34 16 11 7 64:36 28 59
D D D L W
5 34 15 11 8 42:29 13 56
W D D W D
6 34 13 11 10 47:38 9 50
L L D W L
7 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
D L W L W
8 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
W W D L W
9 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
L L L W W
10 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
L D D L L
11 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
L D L W L
12 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
D L D L D
13 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
L W D W D
14 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
W L L W W
15 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
D D L L L
16 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
D W L L L
17 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
L W W D L
18 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
D W W D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2